Larry, I think you could teach TWC some things on long range forecasting. Their January forecast is not holding up too well lol.
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Pattern Januworry
- Thread starter SD
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LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
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2017-2023 Supporter
TWC is trash, just stop looking at it.
I don't take their long range seriously and usually plan on the opposite to happen in winter.
One of their worst forecasts for the E US in particular, especially NE US.
LickWx
Member
Gfs had 55 NAM 56 for today . Currently 61 and climbing .
3K has some Wednesday Morning mood flakes
NoSnowATL
Member
So close
pcbjr
Member
LOL ... Tampa has been 5º cooler than us all day here in Hogtown, and we're cooler than y'all ... do go and figure ...
LickWx
Member
Y’all are socked under some clouds and precip !
pcbjr
Member
No sheet Shirlock ... LOL ...
Models usually fail on highs with full sun and on lows with optimal radiational cooling, it's really not unusual at all but thanks for the updates.
Though we aren’t what the weather channel predicted, the top map isn’t right because it has been an above average month in north Georgia.
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Zander98al
Guest
Global models have caught on to a serious severe weather look in around 7 days. Something to keep a eye on.
My local airport is at -.1 departure for January. That’s impressive given the first two days of the month when we were well in the 70s.
I didn't check Cartersville when I was looking earlier.
Looks like the new average (1990-2020) for January is 41.8F, and they have 41.9 (+.1) not counting today. Let me throw today and we get 42.1. (+.3) If the next couple of days are average and this weekend remains forecast to be cold, KVPC should finish slightly below average.
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Saturday looks brutal so I think we make it.
It seems to be dropping some too. I honestly wouldn't be surprised if you stay at or below freezing the entire day. Here is Cartersville's preliminary data through yesterday, impressive indeed for those two blow torch days to start the month, and almost a full 3 degrees less then KATL.
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Zander98al
Guest
A concerning trend is still on the table for a weeks timeframe. Instability is still in question, wind shear looks to be expansive though and overall a decent look. Triple phase and a diffluent flow on the far southern states. 
