-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Pattern Januworry
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Brent
Member
Flizzard watch
Musing while waiting for the GFS to shake up things. A forecast like this for Atlanta is on my bucket list.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
An inch of ice and up to 20" of snow in the same storm. Not sure any city in the SE has ever experienced that kind of storm.Musing while waiting for the GFS to shake up things. A forecast like this for Atlanta is on my bucket list.
Nice Wall to Wall U.S. cold. 
In recorded history, probably not. But, given the right circumstances, it could happen.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
I think wall to wall literally means the entire country. South Florida says hello ?
We have. It’s just a broad warning covering valleys/mtns. It’s unlikely the same spot gets 20” snow and 1” ice it’s accounting for different elevations of the same general area. Western NC has seen heavy snow events with parts of the county getting heavy ice and lesser snow accums.
We’ve got to crawl before we can walk. I’m liking the evolution at 500mb up around AK bridging through the Arctic. Shakeup seems to be underway. I don’t know how much more Seattle snow I can take..if this doesn’t dump big time cold into the US idk what will
We don’t count South Florida. Only time the have had flurries down there was in January 1977.
I’ve always wondered if we could look back over the past 500-1,000 years what the record snowfall is for locations in the SE. would be wild if there was a monster storm in the 1300s that dropped 30” from CLT to RDU
Man I just want to see this evolution up top coupled with Aleutian low/+PNA..definitely see those lower heights sliding into position off the west coast while this is happening. How transient will it be? Who tf knows.
Could be a faucet dripper ?
Could be a faucet dripper ?
Lol 
Woof
It’s fantasy, but with that look above and the monster Aleutian low forming would lead to this.
I doubt it but you love to see a wedge signature inside 300hr lol
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Can the Carolinas ever get a winter storm without a wedge in place ? That's kind of cheating. ?
Lol 
If we could get a high pressure to drop into MN or WI instead of western MT, we would probably get a snowstorm. Should have some moisture available to tap down south with that look.
I like the baby steps toward the +PNA there.
Sort of need it. Some places in Climo favored spots in the northern and eastern portions of NC can score with the initial cold push. Mountains make make it hard for those in the shadow of them. But most of us need it locked in place for a “good” snow.
cd2play
Member
It's never going to snow again.
1059 dropping down in early January should help ? 
Lol CMC chose violence 
It’s going to get better. Getting in a better climatology time for us and plus getting a better pattern in about 10 days.
Well, that's a different, chillier pattern at least.
Im A fan of the gefs speeding up the progression that would eventually change the pattern 
Snowman63
Member
cd2play
Member
Gives TN Ana front snow
Ron Burgundy
Member
Hell, that gives Dothan anafrontal snow.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
2025 Supporter
I rain!?
Don’t count this idea out. We have already had a couple Ana Fronts already this year. (Even through it was rain).
Trends this weekend toward a much colder January overall vs December have been amazingly good on the globals and the CFS! If this is another headfake, I’m giving up lol. Last Saturday’s headfake caved on Sunday. This time, it isn’t just not caving today, it is intensifying. Guidance is even showing signs especially on the EPS toward a more neutral PNA by late week 2 with an Aleutian trough/+PNA quite possible around the 2 week point or soon after. One thing I suspect is helping a lot is a much improved GEFS AO forecast, which as of just a few days ago was heading to neutral:
The NAO forecast even looks slightly better with neutral rather than slight positive late.
So, -AO with a new +PNA and soon after maybe a phase 8-1-2 MJO possibly low amplitude? Thats all promising for it not being a headfake.
The NAO forecast even looks slightly better with neutral rather than slight positive late.
So, -AO with a new +PNA and soon after maybe a phase 8-1-2 MJO possibly low amplitude? Thats all promising for it not being a headfake.
The PNA has slowly been trending less negative over the past couple of days, so hopefully no more headfakes!
Beautiful 
Euro doesn’t have highs getting above freezing in some spots 
Wow, Euro with a massive abrupt pattern change. If it verified, it would be some Midwest type stuff. Severe weather to back side snow. 70s for highs one day to 40s or lower for highs the next.
Stephenb888
Member
Nobody wanted to listen.
D12 on the Euro was about to be brutally cold.
