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Pattern Januworry

What is upstate Sc’s chances with this system. None?
Zero..not one single model or model run has had flake here. Cold air struggles to get over the mountains before the moisture and typically never does. That's why you here us harp on Cad so much. When the cold air gets locked in place which lately doesn't happen much either.
 
Unlike the Dec 8 storm that missed wide right and ended up being too warm, the cold air is in the vicinity and the subtropical branch of the jet is strong/dominant/very El Nino-like. We got some of the right basic ingredients in place to squeeze out an event for a small subset of the board & also get a last second NW/amping trend, which is arguably more critical for folks in the mid-Atlantic, but could be to the benefit for the coastal plain of NC.


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