Yeah it's less than ideal to see that continually show up. Good news is that we're looking at a 16 day image. Hopefully, it will change.
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Pattern Januworry
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
6z eps?
Pretty interesting if you look back at say the last 10-20 years of cold neutral or full on nina winters we went through a similar process in the north pac around this similar time frame with varying results for our region Even the crowd favorite 2011-2012. 
Mr. Golf
Member
Congrats Louisiana! ?
Here is 2010-11 with something similar this year had the benefit of a -nao initially
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Certainly not every day you see a legit dateline westerly wind burst during the middle of a La Nina. We'll probably see La Nina come to an end by the spring equinox or so.
Mr. Golf
Member
Stormlover
Member
Don't use those lame Weather Channel winter names.
A big shakeup isn't that needed imo we stopped the wave break cycle over the npac and extended the pacific jet. That's going force the new ridge and cut it off and start to feed more cold into Noam as a whole. The issue we now have is the extended pac jet and closed ridge around AK. The eps and gefs handle these differently with the gefs slowly retracting the jet allowing for more western ridging and merging of west coast ridging with the AK ridge which forces the cold vortex into Hudson Bay. The eps as a whole keep the pac jet extended which keeps the west coast ridging at bay and helps retrograde the closed high so the colder vortex doesn't dig and just tilts east and retracts poleward. I hope the gefs is right but since we can't winter anymore I figure the eps will be
3k NAM coming in N too! 3k 12k NAM combination is deadly at this timeframe! 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I'm under the impression that w/ this AAM distribution and evolution (summarized as the GWO) that the deeper we go into February, the more likely we'll see +NAO/+AO/+NAM, which would favor warmth and a strong SE ridge around here. La Nina climo (February is usually warm-torchy) & the current episode of high-latitude North Pacific blocking coupled w/ +NAO & already strong +NAM in the mid-upper stratosphere lends even more credence to this idea.
Certainly will be interesting though prior to then, as the subtropical jet will be more amped than usual for much of January and the negative momentum that's entering the mid-latitudes is a favorable look for high-latitude blocking. (may be more-so in the Pacific instead of the Atlantic tho)
Certainly will be interesting though prior to then, as the subtropical jet will be more amped than usual for much of January and the negative momentum that's entering the mid-latitudes is a favorable look for high-latitude blocking. (may be more-so in the Pacific instead of the Atlantic tho)
12z gfs
nice rain for us in clt. nice for the mtns though.
1049 mb HP, yeah that’s gonna happen. ?
NoSnowATL
Member
I fixed it, 1300HP. We good.
It would be good to see the mountains get snow at least. The photo from Beech Mtn posted on here a few days back was depressing.nice rain for us in clt. nice for the mtns though.
eastern nc score?
