What I’m liking the most is the best +PNA signal we’ve seen since NovemberWe will take the cold at this range … also check out the wicked PV right on the border in the operational that dives down from the arctic .. sheesh
What I’m liking the most is the best +PNA signal we’ve seen since NovemberWe will take the cold at this range … also check out the wicked PV right on the border in the operational that dives down from the arctic .. sheesh
We live in the southeast where we almost never have more then 2 weeks of sustained wintery pattern in any year. That Said it looks a lot better then it did 2 weeks ago right? After Saturday the gfs doesn’t have me reaching 50 degrees for a high even one time through the end of the run. I’ll take that all day seeing as it’s been hard to get a low of 50 degrees for much of December.I keep asking for someone to show me evidence of a sustained wintry pattern for the SE and no one has yet to provide said evidence.
Looking at those two months, you can see why if you’re a snow lover in the NC, upstate SC, northern GA, and Tennessee, you don’t want cold to completely dominate a pattern. Most of that stretch was very dry for those areas.
January 1985 was pretty damn cold here whole month with plenty snow …
2013-2014 was a very solid winter pattern as well. That was to me the last great winter, at least for my area.
Even in both of those winters there were fairly long stretches of mild weather. Much of January 2010 was mild after the first week until we saw the pattern change in the last few days and we had a major storm as soon as cold returned. Even as good as February 2014 was KCLT still ended 1 degree above average for the month. In my memory, I don’t think any winters had true wall to wall cold in the southeast in my memory… I do hear people talk about ‘76-77, but that’s to far back for me to remember, even still if one were to look up the data that winter probably has some mild periods as well… we are in the south after all.
Just know it was cold as shart. Snow happened be plentiful also with a true south storm reackJanuary 1985 was super historic. It isn’t always about how much snow the upper SE receives.
Looks like it ends up with zonal flow. The run-to-run changes on the EURO beyond 5 days are LOL with every run.+PNA trends continue on the 12z EURO
Hard to be mad at a lobe like that ??Imo who needs blocking when you have a super deep TPV just north of Hudson Bay with the coldest air possible View attachment 99700View attachment 99702View attachment 99703
It's not done yet. I or someone else will post it at 3.Can anyone post the 12z EPS snowfall mean?
Now this isn’t ideal View attachment 99709
Anybody got Euro snow maps?It's not done yet. I or someone else will post it at 3.
Seems like a legit possibility. Doesn't kill the eventual turn to colder but delays it as we go into a warm/cool cycle as systems are directed to our north. I think I said this yesterday that the cooler faster eps had more fail points than the gfs gefs which were slower but cleaner in the npac.Now this isn’t ideal View attachment 99709
Snowqualmie to Stampede Pass down to Lake Tahoe. Bright.
Yep it’s problematicSeems like a legit possibility. Doesn't kill the eventual turn to colder but delays it as we go into a warm/cool cycle as systems are directed to our north. I think I said this yesterday that the cooler faster eps had more fail points than the gfs gefs which were slower but cleaner in the npac.
Should start to see more pna after that frame may even get more of a rockies ridge. The good thing is with the pac jet extended so far east on the eps it'll eventually retract and we make a run at a big pac ridge in time regardless we may have found a new way to turn the pattern mediocre for another weekYep it’s problematic View attachment 99715