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Pattern Januworry

Myfrotho704_ said:
Although not great, finally the gfs has stronger -NAO blocking after it being weaker for 3 runs in a row and the pacific is slightly better
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My guess is that we rides the 7/8 line into COD. Wishfull thinking yes but that’s my Christmas wish. Just have to be patient the next 10-14 days.
 
NoSnowATL said:
My guess is that we rides the 7/8 line into COD. Wishfull thinking yes but that’s my Christmas wish. Just have to be patient the next 10-14 days.
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I'd like it to get solidly into 8 then ride the line between 8 and 1 into the COD in mid to late January. The later we get to the COD the later we can emerge in 4, 5 and 6.
 
Rain Cold said:
You're right. And it never does. But that's not really going to be our issue.
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Yep our problem is still there throughout the run. It did move it a little more north and east but it's still positively tilted and dropping energy down the west coast. But that's just getting into Jan when phase 7 becomes favorable and should be close to 8 by then. There's way more than the MJO at work as you say often, but it's going to have to save the day for us the way it looks at the moment.
 
RainlessSnowless & Grumpy said:
Yep our problem is still there throughout the run. It did move it a little more north and east but it's still positively tilted and dropping energy down the west coast. But that's just getting into Jan when phase 7 becomes favorable and should be close to 8 by then. There's way more than the MJO at work as you say often, but it's going to have to save the day for us the way it looks at the moment.
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Yeah doesn’t help that we’ve trended to a shallow GOA ridge at all
 
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