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Pattern Januworry

This is a beautiful sight to behold on the 12Z EURO. I'd love to see where this would go past 10 days.
ecmwf_z500a_namer_11.png
 
Hey just saying all I've seen for the past 30 days are day 13, 14, 15, 16 red maps with oof, crickets and golf emojis weird that when it looks decent it's quiet
I’ve been excited about it just to get stoned by the warm crowd who just says every run is dumpster fire even when it’s not even remotely ? I just stop responding and I’ll be excited in my own world lol
 
I’ve been excited about it just to get stoned by the warm crowd who just says every run is dumpster fire even when it’s not even remotely ? I just stop responding and I’ll be excited in my own world lol
Lookong forward to seeing this potential evolve. Just hope it doesnt ride up through TN-eastern KY.
 
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Surprised you think it will turn that late. Id be happy if WNC cashed in.
It'd be touchy, wave coming down into the lakes might help suppress out front and a new arctic boundary is drifting east as the low was getting going in the gulf. The jet was pretty far left though. If the wave in the lakes were even 24 hours faster we likely see a lower amp version and go snow/ice across a good part of the board. All in all day 16 but nice to see winter still exists
 
EPS looks like it’s trying to western ridge
You made me look and I see it later in the run and the jet is starting to retract too which should allow for more pac ridging. Sometimes though I feel like the way the gfs and gefs drive this pattern is a better way for sustained cool to cold and the eps mean has some fail points.
 
The pacific still has a torchy look, but the models are trying to establish a pseudo east-based Greenland block (as the heights pump ahead of this weekend's system), which prevents the SE ridge from pumping.

Seems like the outcome will be entirely dependent on the evolution of this weekend's system, and whether it's a strung out POS vs a more significant storm.
 
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