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Pattern Januworry

DarkKnight said:
It almost a like a hybrid cold core low. That gets sucked in a surface front. Very weird look on the gfs.
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Yeah I'm not sure yet what to think. Definitely the best chance we've had this winter but that's not saying much ?

For what it's worth though the NWS does seem to believe something will either come from the initial front or that wave

The front idea doesn't excite me much because usually it dries out fast but who knows
 
BufordWX said:
View attachment 99465View attachment 99466
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Column really crashes. Watch out NC folks there’s potential for maybe some backside deformation happiness with this system placement of the low and strength will all be crucial to whether we are even able to see something here but I’d look for that possibility as there will be some good dynamics at play here … would probably not accumulate much at all unless this thing trended real south and exploded as it’s own system
 
Quite a bit of action on the snow maps for different parts of the region from D10-15 on the eps and gefs overnight. The eps mean sprawls out AN MSLP anomalies across the northern tier of the US and hints at some wedging as well.

Here is the spread for RDU certainly a cooler look after the cold shot/warm up early to mid next weekecmwf-ensemble-KRDU-tmin_tmax_boxplot-0649600.png
 
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