Pattern Januworry

[John1122]

The 12z to 18z GFS/GEFS shows the futility of even looking at 500mb beyond D7-8. It would be hard to have two more opposite solutions from models ran 6 hours apart.

 

[Ron Burgundy]

Accuweather says Atlanta's next freeze is January 23. Larry, has Atlanta ever entered the month of January with only 1 freeze ?

KATL is about as representative of the Atlanta climate as Valdosta.

 

[GaWx]

Late HH GEFS isn’t tossable imo. Looks good!

 

[pcbjr]

Late HH GEFS isn’t tossable imo. Looks good!

?
????
?

 

[iGRXY]

this is why I feel a lot better about the possibility of cold at least in January. The MJO pushing through phase 7 and potentially 8 makes these model runs decently realistic.

 

[Flotown]

Sunday storm is intriguing atleast on 12z runs in my neck of the woods but still early..so who knows

 

[Broken024]

Sunday storm is intriguing atleast on 12z runs in my neck of the woods but still early..so who knows

I'd be happy if I was in ten/ northern MS/Al. Looks like a decent shot at something out there.

 

[GaWx]

HH GEFS late is big improvement imo:

 

[SENC]

The extended outlook in the the 4th to 9th of Jan looks like 70 and 55 again, so sick of this s h i t .

I'm loving it... great BEACH Weather Speckled Sea Trout Fishing, & LOW electric bills!

 

[Tarheel1]

How can it snow in NW Mississippi and not SE Kansas?

 

[SD]

 

[EmersonGA]

KATL is about as representative of the Atlanta climate as Valdosta.

But that interferes with his standard post this time every year. I’m at 20 freezes for the winter so far not counting frosts and I’m a half hour drive from the city.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[DixieBlizzard]

But that interferes with his standard post this time every year. I’m at 20 freezes for the winter so far not counting frosts and I’m a half hour drive from the city.

Every time KATL stays above freezing, Dewpoint Dan feels he has a bigger weather weenie. Dude is obsessed.

 

[NoSnowATL]

Every time KATL stays above freezing, Dewpoint Dan feels he has a bigger weather weenie. Dude is obsessed.

Well he is past menopause so……..

 

[Cad Wedge NC]

KATL is about as representative of the Atlanta climate as Valdosta.

Yeah, everybody knows that the UHI is making the data worthless, but nobody is willing to change the data or the location. The same thing is happening in the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast cities as well.

 

[Stormlover]

How can it snow in NW Mississippi and not SE Kansas? View attachment 99448

track of the low, but that's total through 276 hours, not from the same system

 

[Flotown]

How can it snow in NW Mississippi and not SE Kansas? View attachment 99448

If we can bring that about 30 miles southeast please

 

[StormWatch]

This la nina is killing us. Remember the past years where we would get a constant +PNA and couldn't buy a negative NAO. During those times we would still score a storm or two; and at least see a cold weather pattern. Right now, the PNA looks to stay negative for the foreseeable future. Trough stays out west and the SER stays in the SE.
View attachment 99371

I'd have more concern about the southeastern ridge than a -PNA. Eastern ridging can still occur even with a +PNA. Honestly, I wouldn't be too worried about the -PNA.

I see the Atlanta snow shield is still activated. But I’d love for our western folks to score next weekend. That would be a good start to the New Year!

There's still plenty of time, that system is still beyond 5 days and things are likely to change. There's no official forecast (yet) for any kind of snow/ice (at least not in Atlanta and metro areas.)

View attachment 99389

The surface map from the 12z Euro on Pivotal Weather shows a band of snow like the animation above, except for North Georgia (and Atlanta.) Glenn Burns posted an image from the Euro and it shows what that animation shows. I thought there may have been something wrong with the graphics on Pivotal Weather, but I checked the Euro on Weather.us and it shows exactly what it shows on Pivotal Weather - makes no sense.

 

[Metwannabe]

track of the low, but that's total through 276 hours, not from the same system

He was being sarcastic

Speaking of which, I'm reading through pages of sarcasm, trolling, off topic post that would be so much better in whamby.