0z GFS is a keeper 
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Pattern Januworry
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Final map.
StormWatch
Member
0z GFS tried with the system on the 2nd/3rd. The trough would need to dig down a bit more for something more significant. It's still a frontal system with an embedded low. Not that bad though for it to be in the time frame it's in. Still lots of time for positive changes (or negative) for winter storm development.
Stephenb888
Member
Any chance this can improve to give upstate Sc a chance or not really since it’s an anal front?0z GFS tried with the system on the 2nd/3rd. The trough would need to dig down a bit more for something more significant. It's still a frontal system with an embedded low. Not that bad though for it to be in the time frame it's in. Still lots of time for positive changes (or negative) for winter storm development.
CMC continues to show it.
It tries to develop a low on the front. Like a hybrid. Miller B setup I guess you could say.
What a arctic cold front on mid-long range gfs. Look at the contrast of temps in mid planes. 
StormWatch
Member
It does have the chance to improve. By the 0z run, the upper level vorticity is being strung out (sheard) by a fast flow in addition to higher heights building behind the trough to the west which isn't good, cause it would cause the system to push out quickly. Right now, it's looking best for snow along and west of the mountains of the Southeast. But, some snow could make it east of the mountains if the vorticity doesn't get sheard out even more by the mountains.
It’s actually not too bad there is a ridge but there’s also much mor which pressure systems trying to mingle with our weather .. CAD magnet
I’m not talking about CAD. I’m talking about the H5 pattern. It looks ugly.
Ya I was gonna comment but figured just leave it alone tonight. lol. Goes right back to current pattern.
Things can change let’s worry about this anal front before we have to worry about that
The CMC still solidly moved the ridge out of the Aleutians to the north of Alaska by day ten much as the earlier GFS runs have been doing. So it's far from settled. Euro will be interesting, to say the least.
The CMC still solidly moved the ridge out of the Aleutians to the north of Alaska by day ten much as the earlier GFS runs have been doing. So it's far from settled. Euro will be interesting, to say the least.
Unfortunately, the 0Z EPS was a bit warmer on most days in the SE vs the 12Z EPS though not terribly warmer. Hopefully the GEFS and EPS will reverse back colder by 12Z. If this ends up to be another headfake………….never mind. I’ll try to stay positive.
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Hmm 
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
I want to be the first to point out how grossly warm the soil temps will be after days-on-end in the 70s.
I’m just wanting to see snowflakes fall.