Pattern Januworry

[NickyBGuarantee]

Friendly reminder you can never trust anything past 240 it WILL change

 

[Oconeexman]

Lol that confluence on the GFS has us with <0 850s for days, it would be a perfect opportunity to throw a southern stream wave into that

Reel it in Fro! I'll be up close to Charlotte for January and February but home on weekends. Would like an i85 special to drive in...not but I really do

 

[GaWx]

Not this again. With Februay usually being known as a warm month for the SE during La Nina seasons, we can't afford to kick the can down the road much. Thankfuly this just one GFS op run. I wait until we get into the 0z model runs before I starting freaking out or seeing this as a possible trend.

Actually, it still looks cold for 1/3-7, regardless. That by itself makes it a good run to me as that wasn’t the case just a few days ago. So, I’ve decided I shouldn’t toss after all.

 

[Mr. Golf]

Actually, it still looks cold for 1/3-7, regardless. That by itself makes it a good run to me as that wasn’t the case just a few days ago. So, I’ve decided I shouldn’t toss after all.

Remember Larry ensembles is what we focus on in the long term in particular

 

[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

Actually, it still looks cold for 1/3-7, regardless. That by itself makes it a good run to me as that wasn’t the case just a few days ago. So, I’ve decided I shouldn’t toss after all.

I guess it comes down to if it's a brief cold shot then torch or a real pattern change. The next few days will tell us that.

 

[bigstick10]

Can we nuke the SER????

 

[Tarheel1]

?

 

[Rain Cold]

That run almost entirely sucked. Not enough lipstick to put on that pig.

Start here:



End here:



And the in-between panels weren't much better.

 

[cd2play]

Can we nuke the SER????

It would do no good, because then another one would just pop up.

 

[Tarheel1]

That run almost entirely sucked. Not enough lipstick to put on that pig.

Start here:

View attachment 99311

End here:

View attachment 99312

And the in-between panels weren't much better.

It’s cold tho!

 

[Mr. Golf]

FWIW, the 18zgefs was much different than 18zgfs

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

That run almost entirely sucked. Not enough lipstick to put on that pig.

Start here:

View attachment 99311

End here:

View attachment 99312

And the in-between panels weren't much better.

the cold wave hasn’t even been sampled yet ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Yeah the gefs was actually better then it’s 12z run

 

[Rain Cold]

Yeah the gefs was actually better then it’s 12z run View attachment 99314View attachment 99315View attachment 99316View attachment 99317

Nice. Looks like Montana and the Dakota are in for a nice wintry period. Looks like the SE might get near average or a ittle below. At least we have a lot of winter left and the model may not be handling things correctly.

 

[Johnkittz]

Ordinarily we would have a lot of winter left but hasn't it been decided that February will be warm ? If so we only have a month left.

Who decided that? Can temperatures really be that accurate that far out? I'm actually curious lol.

 

[Stormlover]

Pushing that ridge back...

 

[Stormlover]

Who decided that? Can temperatures really be that accurate that far out? I'm actually curious lol.

No they can't. Not sure who he claims decided that. Only God knows, and because something shows that, or someone claimed that, doesn't mean it was "decided"

 

[Mr. Golf]

Pushing that ridge back...

The cpc forecasts on the weekend are computer generated with no forecaster input. Guess we all knew that ?. Or did we??

 

[Stormlover]

The cpc forecasts on the weekend are computer generated with no forecaster input. Guess we all knew that ?. Or did we??

Yeah, what's your point? Sure, humans may adjust them some, but that's the trend.

 

[Snowfan]

Anafrontal still there.