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Pattern Januworry

I know it's la la land but at least the arctic blast was under 350 this time and imo it looked like the changes that occurred that allowed that cold to finally come SE starting to take shape around 240, so pattern change still may very well be on schedule here.
 
For the first time in a while, massive changes show on the GFS by days 10-11. It'll be interesting if the ensembles and later deterministic runs follow suit with the ridging out west instead of that godawful persistent trough.
 
12z GFS wasn't bad. It bring the first freeze of the season to many in the deep south region on the morning of January 3, with highs struggling to get to the 50s on Monday across the area. At least the pattern shift seems to be getting its date bearings now - right after the New Year.
 
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