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Pattern January Joke

a lot of these changes just feel like shuffling the deckchairs on the titanic lol nothing is really moving the needle for me
Idk if I’ve ever felt more adventure in tracking than right now. Nothing feels concrete or needle moving for sure but from the same token, model performance has been so woefully and historically bad that you can’t rule out a big dog at this point. High likelihood? Absolutely not. But does it bring us back every cycle? Yes.
 
a lot of these changes just feel like shuffling the deckchairs on the titanic lol nothing is really moving the needle for me
It's SOP here at SouthernWx. We need a course on what to actually root for when it comes to storm creation in different environments.
 
Euro 18z appears to have the slightest SW shift with the ULL on the first system. Interested to see if that trend continues. If we're going to fix things we're gonna need a lot more than a simple 15-20 mile SW shift.
We're not fixing the first system.
 
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