iGRXY
Member
I spot a difference from tropical tidbits.
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Wintry January 8-9 Wintery Weather Potential!
- Thread starter Ollie Williams
- Start date
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- Tags
- winter
I spot a difference from tropical tidbits.
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Brick Tamland
Guest
72 hours out and the models start going wonky, back and forth, trading solutions. Seems like this happens almost all the time with winter storm threats here.
horrible sounding for clt. yikes.
Yep, GFS wraps a nice band of snow on the backside 
iGRXY
Member
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Wow, GFS actually ends up looking better here. Have to catch that snow on the flip.side, homey!
IMO, backside snow is gonna be the way to win in this system when you switch N/NWly aloft, I don’t like the frontend stuff
Jessy89
Member
Gfs favorable to NE upstate Nam favorable to NW upstate big differences
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
SouthGarnerSleet
Member
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Just have to look at the run to run consistency now.
Anyone putting stock in 10:1 snow maps is likely to be disappointed, Kuchera is the way to go, ratio driven and does an ok job accounting for changeovers. Gold standard is soundings and partial thickness plotted against p-type nomogram.
Lol 
NCSNOW
Member
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- Dec 2, 2016
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Big news station In Greensboro talk radio Ray Stageck calling for up to 4 inches Greensboro Friday. Last time I heard a wx man give a public accum forecast 75 hrs before an event was actually March 1993 and it was more than 4.
Track,Track,Track fellas and ITS Got to stay closed off. Dont sweat the new NAM out past 2 days.
Track,Track,Track fellas and ITS Got to stay closed off. Dont sweat the new NAM out past 2 days.
I'd feel really good if I lived along the NV/VA border rn.
GFS snow totals are crazy. They show what RAH has been discussing; whereas there will probably be bands that setup providing a lucky few with nice accumulations, but others close by very little. Just in Wake County it shows Wake Forest maybe getting 1" but Apex getting 8". This is going to be like summertime thunderstorms --> we will not know who scores until "go time".
GFSV16 has some really nice soundings in that band, pretty insane lift in the DGZ lol, would argue there might be thundersnow with that look it shows given MLLRs around 7C+
Honestly I think everybody in central NC is equal in the chances of >1". You might get luck and get 5" (2.5 after dividing
) and somebody in Roxboro just a dusting.
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
I like the look of starting out as rain and changing over to snow. That way we don't have to worry about virga