Wintry January 8-9 Wintery Weather Potential!

[superjames1992]

Euro ensembles?

I don’t believe they release for another hour or two.

 

[Ollie Williams]

I don’t believe they release for another hour or two.

Yeah, they’ll be done at 2:50. They’re running now.

 

[iGRXY]

That 70% Cut off line looks right along Highway 11, am I wrong?

Correct, I think from Northern Cherokee County to Chesnee, Fingerville, Likely Inman, to Marietta North are almost sure to see snow at this point. Even if the ULL went right over head.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Becoming more useless but still looks good, I’d say if your blue or above, you’ll see snow fly and the more NW you go,
The better chance of accums

 

[BLKeene]

Correct, I think from Northern Cherokee County to Chesnee, Fingerville, Likely Inman, to Marietta North are almost sure to see snow at this point. Even if the ULL went right over head.

Inman may end up where the Rn/Sn line ends up. I've seen this setup in a similar fashion before. Been tracking these winter storms since Andy Wood had those weather blogs on Fox carolina back in the day. Last year with an ULL setup, Clemson and Ne GA cashed in with heavy precip and the coulmn crashing. It did snow up into the northern upstate but never got below 33, and it melted just as quickly as it coated everything.

 

[iGRXY]

Inman may end up where the Rn/Sn line ends up. I've seen this setup in a similar fashion before. Been tracking these winter storms since Andy Wood had those weather blogs on Fox carolina back in the day. Last year with an ULL setup, Clemson and Ne GA cashed in with heavy precip and the coulmn crashing. It did snow up into the northern upstate but never got below 33, and it melted just as quickly as it coated everything.

Nahh, i think the rain snow line will likely end up just south of Greenville and Spartanburg towards the pacolet river. Areas along and north of 85 are consistently getting into measurable accumulations on these model runs which is telling in my opinion.

 

[Brick Tamland]

Becoming more useless but still looks good, I’d say if your blue or above, you’ll see snow fly and the more NW you go,
The better chance of accumsView attachment 63118View attachment 63119

Euro has been staying consistent the past two days.

 

[Turner Team]

Dr No said no to nomanslandva?

I actually think we are in a good spot right now considering how models almost always tick north within 48 hours of the event.

 

[smast16]

I could see a screwjob for someone the the Piedmont, especially if there’s a front end frontogenic band, and then the backside deform, past experiences tell me that happens nearby here/to my southwest

It'll be me. Except it'll be to your north where the front end band doesn't punch north enough and the backside develops to my east.

Mark it.

 

[deltadog03]

I think this system is also key for the next one.

 

[Downeastnc]

HmmmmView attachment 63085View attachment 63086View attachment 63087View attachment 63088

I dont hate it, this Euro run is the first one to make me think I might actually see some flakes with the Friday event....I am intrigued by this.....but then the Euro snatches the Monday storm away, I would gladly pass on a sloppy inch or two Friday to cash in on a legit 2-6" event Monday.....

 

[Jrips2710]

Looks like GSP's first call is out

 

[Jessy89]

Looks like GSP's first call is outView attachment 63136

Looks like there hugging the GFS


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[iGRXY]

Looks like there hugging the GFS


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Kendra Kent posted a view of the GFS on her facebook page. They're going to hug whatever the most conservative model is until we're 24 hours out.

 

[jackendrickwx]

GSP seemed more bullish overall this discussion. Also mentioned the possibilities for next week

 

[SNOWMANN]

Looks like GSP's first call is outView attachment 63136

looks good def room for adjustment with future runs

 

[tucker]

WRCB out of Chattanooga

 

[SNOWMANN]

View attachment 63155
WRCB out of Chattanooga

Most models have the system departing way before that is this a in house model with some defo banding?

 

[tucker]

Most models have the system departing way before that is this a in house model with some defo banding?

Yes, in house model called Viper Cast.

 

[iGRXY]

NAM looks slightly south at 33.