One glaring wildcard Thats being honked loud and clear on all models is a deform band. Now where that exactly takes up roots exact point from metwannabe through our backyards down toward wows area in NC will be decided Friday at verification. But that heavy quick thump/rates will be what gets the grass covered up in 1-2 hours. Rates,those kind of Rates im referencing, will trump ground temps, sun angle or every other kind of negative factor that gets thrown out there. Thats the winning lotto /combination for Triad,Traingle, western piedmont,northern coastal plain posters on here. Dicey, but some cluster of posters in NC outside MTNS, will get a payday Friday. Some will get burnt by the hair of their chin. But hey its a decent shot and not just wishcasting ,false hope.No matter how things trend, I'm going to remain skeptical of the warm nose unless we get into the CAM range, and things stay consistant.
I like it, first time 2" mean has crept as far east as me ? of course no room for errorMean didn't really change much though.
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The snow axis kind of reminds me of February 2020, but flipped, where the mountains have the highest amount.I like it, first time 2" mean has crept as far east as me ? of course no room for error
Reminds me of February 2015 sooo much ???The snow axis kind of reminds me of February 2020, but flipped, where the mountains have the highest amount.
We can live with thisEPS pretty deadly at this range. The SLP track looks solid. Although maybe I just jinxed it and this yanks north hard at 0z runs. ?
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The big thing to take from this is all the model runs continued to improve today and we are getting closer and closer. Great to have the Euro continue the trend and not go the other way.
Right on cue never fails going on 10 yearsThanks captain obvious.
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At this point like brad said I think flakes will fly in Charlotte/Raleigh, but really my what’s revolving in my head is how far NW will the warm nose move, where does the deform band setup, honestly I think that’s where areas outside the mountains would score the most with given that precip is not driven by intense WAA/SW flow aloftAll 3 globals for 12z Friday. Atleast for today they are on top of each other.
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I've already accepted the warm nose is coming through here. Might start as some snow or sleet but any good snow for here and probably Raleigh comes at the end when it changes overAt this point like brad said I think flakes will fly in Charlotte/Raleigh, but really my what’s revolving in my head is how far NW will the warm nose move, where does the deform band setup, honestly I think that’s where areas outside the mountains would score the most with given the precip is not driven by intense WAA/SW flow aloft
I've already accepted the warm nose is coming through here. Might start as some snow or sleet but any good snow for here and probably Raleigh comes at the end when it changes over