Jessy89
Member
Chris Justice thinking for those interested
SNOW UPDATE: Not much has changed in my thinking on our two snow potential’s over the next week. First, Thursday and Friday looks like a decent snow for the North Carolina mountains, several inches and travel troubles are likely. For the upstate, temperatures are very borderline. I always proceed with caution in these type of events without a lot of cold air in place beforehand. Basically the atmosphere will be relying on rain to cool down. Because this is moving in during the overnight hours, I do think we could get to near freezing in locations around I-85, northbound. this includes many populated areas of the upstate including downtown Greenville, Greer and Spartanburg northbound. Areas south, have lower elevations and slightly warmer temperatures where rain looks more likely. The computer models are going to jump all over the place over the next 24 hours but as I meteorologist it is my job to diagnose the entire pattern not jump on board each model. For example the latest European model overnight tracked the low pressure over the North Carolina / South Carolina state line. This made for much less snow and warmer air for the upstate. While the previous run tracked along the I-20 Corridor and hammered the upstate with snow. The answer is found somewhere in between. When I look at the multiple different runs of the European called the ensembles, each have different starting conditions and parameters… Almost all of them end up with some Snow along the I-85 corridor, north toward the mountains. By the way, this is the first of two systems we are tracking. Colder air looks to be in place when the second one arrives on Monday and that could mean another chance for snow in some areas that did not get it this first storm. Stay tuned! I will have a full breakdown this afternoon with new model data starting on WYFF News 4 at four, five, six and 11 PM.
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SNOW UPDATE: Not much has changed in my thinking on our two snow potential’s over the next week. First, Thursday and Friday looks like a decent snow for the North Carolina mountains, several inches and travel troubles are likely. For the upstate, temperatures are very borderline. I always proceed with caution in these type of events without a lot of cold air in place beforehand. Basically the atmosphere will be relying on rain to cool down. Because this is moving in during the overnight hours, I do think we could get to near freezing in locations around I-85, northbound. this includes many populated areas of the upstate including downtown Greenville, Greer and Spartanburg northbound. Areas south, have lower elevations and slightly warmer temperatures where rain looks more likely. The computer models are going to jump all over the place over the next 24 hours but as I meteorologist it is my job to diagnose the entire pattern not jump on board each model. For example the latest European model overnight tracked the low pressure over the North Carolina / South Carolina state line. This made for much less snow and warmer air for the upstate. While the previous run tracked along the I-20 Corridor and hammered the upstate with snow. The answer is found somewhere in between. When I look at the multiple different runs of the European called the ensembles, each have different starting conditions and parameters… Almost all of them end up with some Snow along the I-85 corridor, north toward the mountains. By the way, this is the first of two systems we are tracking. Colder air looks to be in place when the second one arrives on Monday and that could mean another chance for snow in some areas that did not get it this first storm. Stay tuned! I will have a full breakdown this afternoon with new model data starting on WYFF News 4 at four, five, six and 11 PM.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
