Wintry January 8-9 Wintery Weather Potential!

[Rainforrest]

Anybody in Franklin for a spare bunk?View attachment 62641

looks more like cashiers.

 

[NorthGaWinter4]

@ForsythSnow how do you feel for our area. We are super close i haven’t looked at soundings

 

[packfan98]

GEFS is looking really solid compared to previous runs. Out to hr 90

 

[Ollie Williams]

GEFS is looking really solid compared to previous runs. Out to hr 90

Major increase through hour 99.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Pretty sizable increase on gefs so far

 

[DopplerWx]

in charlotte we are prob looking at a typical cold rain friday morning and hoping we get snow on the deform band on the backside.

 

[NorthGaWinter4]

GEFS looks pretty good for NGA

 

[Myfrotho704_]

in charlotte we are prob looking at a typical cold rain friday morning and hoping we get snow on the deform band on the backside.

Probably one of those things where how far north you are makes the big difference around our areas

 

[Myfrotho704_]

End off with this, wow !

 

[Ollie Williams]

No matter how things trend, I'm going to remain skeptical of the warm nose unless we get into the CAM range, and things stay consistant.

 

[Spurs up]

End off with this, wow ! View attachment 62659

oh wow now we know where the entrance to hell is.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

No matter how things trend, I'm going to remain skeptical of the warm nose unless we get into the CAM range, and things stay consistant.

I’m honestly interested in the higher res models sniffing the deformation band better

 

[Chazwin]

Probably one of those things where how far north you are makes the big difference around our areas

Honestly if a deform band does get going it may be that east of I-77 in the Charlotte area does well. Southern Rowan, Cabarrus, Union, and Stanly counties have done fairly well in the past with deform bands like what is being hinted at. Prior to any deform band, I would expect the city and points south and east to be mainly rain.

 

[ForsythSnow]

@ForsythSnow how do you feel for our area. We are super close i haven’t looked at soundings

Definitely a wait and see situation. 1 or 2 degrees makes all the difference.

 

[JHS]

Definitely a wait and see situation. 1 or 2 degrees makes all the difference.

That's nothing new for most of us outside of the mountains unless it's a CAD setup. You have a better chance than I do because of elevation. I'm afraid I get rain while I watch Spartanburg and Gaffney get nailed.

 

[NorthGaWinter4]

Definitely a wait and see situation. 1 or 2 degrees makes all the difference.

We are a few miles away from a thump

 

[SD]

Convective feedback issues right? Precip shield will be more expansive to the NW right?

Probably

 

[SD]

Do need to keep a eye on that SE Canada low trying to interfere again, kinda don’t like this now, want more separation so it doesn’t feel the weakness and go NE View attachment 62639

May help maintain a sightly better cold feed in the low and mid levels. I don't think this would cause it to be farther N if anything the slightly lower heights to the east might cause a faster/SE result

 

[SD]

Probably

Gfs says no precip for you @metwannabe but this argues otherwise

 

[SD]

Paste