Cary_Snow95
Member
Nam pops a low in the Bahamas again.. convective feedback strikes again???
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Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
BHS1975
Member
Crazy trends. I hope someone is recording this.
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Stormsfury
Member
Hr48 lead wave stronger beginning to see signs of a phase ...
Stronger and closer at 48
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Cary_Snow95
Member
Image
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Jon
Member
54hrs
Waves are a hair away from interacting. Northern stream more neutral tilt, argues for deep dive south and quickly. Earlier phase coming
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Waves are a hair away from interacting. Northern stream more neutral tilt, argues for deep dive south and quickly. Earlier phase coming
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Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Hell, that could phase in the gulf!Image
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Incoming!! Quicker stronger phase earlier than 18z NAM
Wow that would almost even put alabama in the game.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
The phase is going to be earlier again but I'm just thinking at my frame if only it could phase where it's at (Hr 54).
Yeah their dancing... dang
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Jon
Member
Close to neutral tilt at 60hrs almost interaction between both waves, could phase and be neutral as 63hrs
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Nam has to be in troll mode.... this looks great
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This thing has legs! Much earlier wave interaction. Many said it couldn't happen this early! Still a few days out! Bam!
Snowflowxxl
Member
Wtf just happended on the NAM
Xtreme Weather
Member
Click click boom could be your storm NC... She gonna phase
I believe this is a case of the trend is your friend
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Jon
Member
Neutral tilt and phase starting WEST of Fl panhandle at 63hr! Was over Panhandle 18z run with no phase.
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Why is nam doing that?? You think it would have precip further west.Nam has to be in troll mode.... this looks great
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Stormsfury
Member
Lots of convective blips in the SW Atlantic again. sfc low center well NE of previous 18z run.
Yeah makes 0 sense. Start getting vorticity over the Bahamas from nothing
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Yeah that low goes from the S. FL coast like 150 miles Northeast in one frame, lol!
Jon
Member
Heavy snow coastal GA, SC
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GeorgiaGirl
Member
Yeah the 500 look would make me think this is a hit for North Carolina. I wonder what's going on?
Well goo news you still got 2 1/2 days for it straighten itself out.
Snowflowxxl
Member
Boom! Larry getting crushed!
Said it before, give me this I don't care what the surface reflection is right now
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Jon
Member
SC will be hit nicely, especially coastal counties. RDU to I-95 could be sweet spot. Wow didn’t expect this big of a jog west this early....
Ok SC the big winner this run!
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Ok SC the big winner this run!
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Xtreme Weather
Member
I believe this is a case of the trend is your friend
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That is beautiful for you guys. Wow what a trend.
Michael21
Member
The h5 looked great for this system to go further west with the pieces of energy phasing even quicker on the 0Z Nam,compared to even the 18Z Nam. People though that it couldn't trend much further west.Again Northern Georgia ,Update South Carolina and maybe even Western North Carolina is not out of the game for snowfall!
Yeh Shawn whats up with that? The low is literally right off the coast of SC..
RollTide18
Member
@GeorgiaGirl was on to something, if it were to start phasing over AR, whew...
But overall great trends.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yeah the overall synoptic pattern is somewhere in between December 1989 & January 1940, thus favors a bullseye somewhere over the coastal plain or eastern piedmont of NC as of now, the models will probably come towards that w/ time. As mentioned earlier, even as far west as Charlotte & Greensboro/Winston-Salem there could be snow if we keep this up
Haha the 3KM nam has NO idea what to do with the low. It bounces all over the place cause it cant figure out where to place it with that crud out in front. No worries. It's close to a coastal hugger this run, in reality.
Xtreme Weather
Member
Hell another 200mi NW jump we would be in the game LoL