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Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special

Robert West said:
Columbia taking the shaft real hard with this one. Chalk it up as another disappointment. Either dry air, to warm, warm nose. Always something.
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It's a disappointment, as seeing folks further east, south, and southeast get in on the snow while we sit in a virga storm.

It's also cool to see several folks who rarely see it get in on the "fun." Unfortunately, it's not gonna work out for our area.

Thankfully, I'm no longer emotionally invested in this stuff any longer, and just move on. It's always better to have it in your backyard. But if you really wanna see it, then head to the Lower Midlands, Pee Dee, Grand Strand or Lowcountry.
 
Looks like some good convective activity along/off the GA and SC coasts now.
 
Hilton Head:
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Our observers out at GSO released a special 18z sounding today to assist in the forecasting process. It illustrates nicely why the snow that is showing up on our radar isn't quite making it to the surface. A rather thick layer of dry air remains at the mid to low levels! #NCwx


 
Brick Tamland said:
Can't win here. I don't think we have a good idea what we need to get snow here anymore. It seems when we do lately it's usually a last minute surprise, like with the Christmas 2010 storm.

When the models do show a huge storm, the setup says no and the models end up being wrong. When we have a great setup, the models say no and end up being right.
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Frustrating isn't is Brick?
 
This looks just like I thought it would with a coastal. Cant help the dryair/virga though: Atleast I wasnt that off looking at H5

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Mr. Grinch said:
NW trend....NW trend it's our friend.... That NW trend
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I swear man trying it's best to get .5 qpf back to me, it continues to show it pivot which holds precip over me just a little longer... just don't know if I trust it lol
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Webberweather53 said:
Only 25-30 more miles to go NW and Raleigh will be inside the 3-5" that's over central Johnston County on the HRRR. Gonna be close
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Umm weenie mby question but can you post that at the end of its run? Thanks

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