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Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special

Last 4 runs
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Probably not reaching the ground yet, virga looks to have gotten down to about 4000 feet or so. We're getting there
It's impressive just looking at the precip shield on radar (all the virga). If it's not going to snow, at least it looks expansive and pretty! I'm starting to get encouraged that we see some flakes here. I hope we see some last minute trends west with the SLP and some consolidation, rather than the dual low/multi low junk.
 
Last 4 runs
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Yeah, I noticed that earlier in the run the intensity of the precipitation offshore coastal GA is waning as verification nears, that likely has a lot to do w/ it. The convection stays less intense offshore so does the low center there and it gives a better shot for areas west of I-95 and increases the moisture transport back across the coastal plain and piedmont... One can certainly hope we keep this up
 
Columbia taking the shaft real hard with this one. Chalk it up as another disappointment. Either dry air, to warm, warm nose. Always something.
 
That's a lot of precip in SC that's going to have to go due east to miss us. It's already as far west as Charlotte.
 
The vast majority is virga. wundergroung has my current conditions as snow, however ground truth is bone dry
 
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