Where is rain cold? Hrrrrrrrr trying to bring precip back west, baby steps 
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Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Even though there's some attenuation and beam filling wrt precipitation further offshore, against the RAP analysis (as also confirmed by satellite) this mass of convection along the SC/GA coast is further west than forecast (even at 0 hours for the rap)... The pressures are also lower to the west below 1008 hPa in the analysis closer to the Gulf stream east of Jacksonville while the RAP maintained 1010 hPa at best and held the lowest MSLP over the northern Bahamas...
Current mesoanalysis
RAP forecast
Snowflowxxl
Member
The people saying this is 155 pages of nothing are stupid. This is going to be a HISTORIC storm for areas in the southeast. Also in these 155 pages, ALOT of people gained a lot of knowledge. Tons of information in here for future reference! A once in 50 year storm, and y’all want to call it a waste, SMDH
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Cary_Snow95
Member
If you watch the radar loop you can already see it happening
Oh I'm here. I know this trick. I've seen the HRRRRRR do this a lot. It ticks back and gives everyone some false hope. Then, the next run is hard right.Where is rain cold? Hrrrrrrrr trying to bring precip back west, baby steps
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If it snows just a little, I'll consider it a win at this point. At least it's consolidating the low a bit more. Would be nice to see that trend continue.
I also thought that was out of line, per the ton of info in this thread. Not to mention, for the folks who are getting wintry weather in rare places.
Whoever said it is likely on the outside looking in.
packfan98
Moderator
Cary_Snow95
Member
If we could just get this lp to get it's act together faster we would have a chance
Brett
Member
Temp here is 36 dew point is 18 it's getting moist
packfan98
Moderator
crankyweatherguy @crankywxguy 13s13 seconds ago
Thermal gradient in the low levels is impressive and will likely continue to constrict leading to intense frontogensis and high precip rates. SC-NC snowfall could very well exceed even the higher forecasts as hourly rates should trend very high. THIS will be a evolution chase.
Thermal gradient in the low levels is impressive and will likely continue to constrict leading to intense frontogensis and high precip rates. SC-NC snowfall could very well exceed even the higher forecasts as hourly rates should trend very high. THIS will be a evolution chase.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Wonder what areas of NC he is talking about.crankyweatherguy @crankywxguy 13s13 seconds ago
Thermal gradient in the low levels is impressive and will likely continue to constrict leading to intense frontogensis and high precip rates. SC-NC snowfall could very well exceed even the higher forecasts as hourly rates should trend very high. THIS will be a evolution chase.
packfan98
Moderator
My guess is wherever the axis of heaviest snows are. He seems to be knowledgeable, but his profile says he's in the Northeast.
Cary_Snow95
Member
Near the coast. He's referring to the thermal gradient and you can see it's where the red and blue lines meet along the coast
Ya this one is a wtf system for sure
Ocean Isle
Lmao... Euro comes west fwiw
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He has some good info within the last ten minutes on his page....
https://mobile.twitter.com/crankywxguy
https://mobile.twitter.com/crankywxguy
New HRRRRR still trying. Weenie!
packfan98
Moderator
Post it!