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Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special

Already 21 here, but our NWS actually had a low in the teens (18). Wonder if we even beat that as it's so early. The heat pump was on from 6 last night to early in the afternoon, going to be another round of that.

Seriously, if the NAM is actually correct, from past history that's going to be a major issue because of this major cold snap that is 2014 esque. IF anything falls, it's going to stick and by stick, it will melt and freeze on the roads.
 
E NC looks drier this run

Edit: starts cranking at 28
Yep starting to increase
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Yea I’m excited for tomorrow. We are gonna learn a lot one way or the other from this storm. Learned a lot already about H5, and other things. Been a blast and it’s not even affecting me lol!
 
Larry,
About time that you and I set models down and start watching WV and radar.
Good luck, Bud!
Best,
Phil
 
If this slp verifies right there and RDU doesn't get anymore precip than this..... then I just don't know
refcmp_ptype.us_ma.png
Hopefully the amount of precip is too low. But it seems our weather now doesn't always correlate with similar setups of the past.
 
Look at the qpf and that is a tight gradient, some places in ENC approaching 1.5 all frozen.... no way
qpf_acc.us_ma.png
I keep thinking about what SD said before about the highest preip totals almost always ending up a little NW of what the models show.
 
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