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Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special

There is some serious icing on the HRRR for parts of Florida and it keeps creeping South..
Per 3k nam, zr accumulations.... this could certainly be problematic
zr_acc.us_se.png
 
Consistent look on the NAM for areas up towards the Triangle of NC and Eastward. But that weird cut off in totals in NE SC and SE NC is odd. The way the moisture just isn't there... I have a feeling the 06z will look different for a lot of areas.
 
Look at the NAM showing some love to the Wake Co. folks....
snku_acc.us_ma.png
Nice screw zone from SE SC to NE NC. No pivot,upglide on se fetch. Rather this thing stay double barrel and coastal hugger take over , then jumping ots and than reving up 100 miles east of obx
 
Hoping all this virga everyone is talking about actually is snow making it to the ground
 
Maybe the reason this system isn't throwing more moisture back inland is somewhat related to it being a smaller storm? Kind of like some hurricanes are large in size and some are somewhat compact. Maybe this system is potent but a bit on the smaller side. Obviously the dry air is a factor as well.
TW
 
Someone's I just don't know lol

You'd think it would be snowing buckets under these tops too
7964cc317588a49dbff3e855dc39276d.jpg


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It gets .6 back to you I'm sure you'd take that.... no room for error though. Although I still think if this slp verifies in that location it will be more expansive than that imo
 
It gets .6 back to you I'm sure you'd take that.... no room for error though. Although I still think if this slp verifies in that location it will be more expansive than that imo
No doubt... The slight east bump is scary but still good here. I would love to be up your way

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