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Wintry January 3rd-6th, 2018 Winter Storm The ARCC/Xtreme Weather Special

dsaur said:
That's why radar is always the best model, lol. Looking at radar I'm thinking it's going to be hard to escape at least a virga storm over heard, but returns seem to be presaging more than that.
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Wow be nice if it could grab some gulf moisture
 
rgem_mslp_pcpn_seus_30.png

Sharp cutoff just like the NAM. The low is actually SW of the 18z but precip is worse.
 
Cary_Snow95 said:
rgem_mslp_pcpn_seus_30.png

Sharp cutoff just like the NAM. The low is actually SW of the 18z but precip is worse.
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I just don't get that. Closer track but less precip. Has the same snow hole in NE SC / SE NC that the 12K NAM has. Strange.
 
Snowflowxxl said:
NAM was hell bent on giving us moisture on New Years in GA and Alabama up north when no other model was showing it. The NAM was very wrong and busted hard. Just saying...
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Right but this is not a NAM situation this is a nowcast situation. No other model picked this up and now the moisture is developing very well out west... flurries from Birmingham to Atlanta tomorrow. No biggie just something to track.
 
mrdaddyman said:
I just don't get that. Closer track but less precip. Has the same snow hole in NE SC / SE NC that the 12K NAM has. Strange.
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seems to be the theme of the day, either something is going on with this system that we will learn from or the models don't have a clue....
 
mrdaddyman said:
I just don't get that. Closer track but less precip. Has the same snow hole in NE SC / SE NC that the 12K NAM has. Strange.
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Yeah, doesnt make sense, and people have been saying that all day. Better track but less precip.
 
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