GFS much dryer. Last 4 runs have trended that way. I still think parts of TN and “maybe” extreme northern AL MS GA could possibly see a light dusting
No. I’m mainly speaking about GFS. Euro was encouraging but without some type of reinforcement I don’t see how this is more than a run of the mill frontal passage and we all know how those usually end up in the end. I would still be excited if I lived in the areas i mentioned. Euro will be telling tonightYou discounting the Euro, EPS, GEFS, and canadian?
You discounting the Euro, EPS, GEFS, and canadian?
GFS with less precipitation and not as cold. Hopefully its just a bad run.
What’s funny is that while the operational GFS has trended drier, the ensembles tell a different storyNot idealView attachment 13324
Yeah I would pay attention to the ensembles and 0Z tonight. Both will be telling.What’s funny is that while the operational GFS has trended drier, the ensembles tell a different story
I’m fairly confident that the 18z GEFS will be coming in drierWhat’s funny is that while the operational GFS has trended drier, the ensembles tell a different story
What’s funny is that while the operational GFS has trended drier, the ensembles tell a different story
Wow guys the negatively is funny. Over 1 model run. Dang.I’m fairly confident that the 18z GEFS will be coming in drier
Use to be the euro was showing the goods you could toss the other models aside. More recently I’ve noticed though that the euro always seems to show more snow then what reality ends up being. This is for my area only though as I haven’t paid attention to other areas and storms that play out. I say it’s time for the euro to act like the king and bring us to victory!!Yeah I’ll take mid 20s and the snowy euro . It’s the best looking model out there for MBY. Time to ignore reality .....All hail the king![]()
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Euro control and EPS![]()
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Use to be the euro was showing the goods you could toss the other models aside. More recently I’ve noticed though that the euro always seems to show more snow then what reality ends up being. This is for my area only though as I haven’t paid attention to other areas and storms that play out. I say it’s time for the euro to act like the king and bring us to victory!!
Wow guys the negatively is funny. Over 1 model run. Dang.
I’ll feel much better if the 18z gfs and 00z euro come in with more precipitation on tonight’s runs.The negativity is funny but unfortunately probably makes more sense as an outcome for a clipper. I’d also say the GFS has trended dry the last few runs.
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Analyzing tenths of an inch of modeled QPF 3 plus days away is always fun.
The negativity is funny but unfortunately probably makes more sense as an outcome for a clipper. I’d also say the GFS has trended dry the last few runs.
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Touché
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Ik these are sfc maps but most of the ensembles look impressive still at 18z View attachment 13328
I’ll feel much better if the 18z gfs and 00z euro come in with more precipitation on tonight’s runs.
Edit: 00Z gfs