Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat

[Pup12]

So now we get the snow hole in north Alabama according to these runs?

 

[Storm5]

18z gefs through next Friday

Clearly some members develop a second wave

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[Myfrotho704_]

We want to pv to not press so much initially, so us folks In nc/sc can get in on that wave and it not be crushed to the south, I like the fv3 setup it’s just a little to far south with the developing wave but then gets crushed by the pv iron press lol

 

[Storm5]

Lol this is through next Saturday

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[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Also stronger PV press on GFS which may be why it’s drying out along the front

 

[ATLwxfan]

The ATL snow shield continues to be fully operational on that run.


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[Jimmy Hypocracy]

We want to pv to not press so much initially, so us folks In nc/sc can get in on that wave and it not be crushed to the south, I like the fv3 setup it’s just a little to far south with the developing wave but then gets crushed by the pv iron press lol

GFS is likely too progressive with the PV push but I couldn’t really say that with much certainty. It’s just such a fickle setup if you want to see snow fly

 

[pcbjr]

storm number 1

too far north ... not factoring in certain things ... like a Curmudgeon, and a deeper trough as well ...

 

[Myfrotho704_]

If I’m not mistaken a thing that helped our snow rates out last year in the Nc Piedmont was a lee trough aiding in precip development

 

[Arcc]

That FV3 look is how you go from a dusting to a inch to a decent pasting.

 

[deltadog03]

This would make a lot of people in the deep south happy.
View attachment 13057

Sign me up!!!!

 

[deltadog03]

Also I could see this turn into another mess for the big cities (if we actually have the precip) if people don’t take the arctic front for real. This one has potential if that wave does develop.

 

[deltadog03]

I also want to say I DO think we need a wave to develop or there will be a ton of pissed off people. I’m very skeptical of a front having that much precip with it. They usually dry out.

One last thing... this will likely be one of those cases where the cold air will squeeze every bit of moisture available. Interesting storm.

 

[pcbjr]

I also want to say I DO think we need a wave to develop or there will be a ton of pissed off people

Just about fell out of the chair laughing ... as though we don't have enough already ...

 

[deltadog03]

Just about fell out of the chair laughing ... as though we don't have enough already ...

Lol

 

[WXinCanton]

Also I could see this turn into another mess for the big cities (if we actually have the precip) if people don’t take the arctic front for real. This one has potential if that wave does develop.

For sure, a couple inches in the deep south with cold temp equals

 

[Snowflowxxl]

For sure, a couple inches in the deep south with cold temp equals

or this...

 

[Stormlover]

GEFS still good, with 3 inches across northern ala

 

[Parker]

If you look at the GEFS grams like Stormlover posted above, you can see where they are really keying in on a separate system right around the first of the month, and the first one is a trace-3 inch type deal. I’ve been looking at those charts for the past two days, and this is a new thing to my eye.

 

[Snowed In]

GEFS still good, with 3 inches across northern alaView attachment 13070

Are you able to run that for the ATL area?