The system looks a bit slower on the latest GFS run.
Can you post temps0z Icon is Very Very Cold.
The reason why there's a sharp cut off, is due to the mountains. The moisture will have a hard time making it over the mountains.
A lot of that will depend on how quickly the changeover can occur. I like that bullseye near Jackson, MS.
It can take a longer time for the colder air to "reach" over the mountains.The moisture is fine on the ICON...it's the cold air that's having a hard time.
Where you headed? Lafayette doesn't look like a sweet spot on this runBased off this I better get ready to pack my bags on Sunday (if I were allowed to go):
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