Pattern January 21-24 2025

[bouncycorn]

I don't want to be in the bullseye this far out.. TREND BACK SOUTH!!!

 

[JLM]

Absolutely. AL, GA and MS would entirely grind to a halt. That CMC run is absolutely legendary. I don’t know if that storm would have an equal.

To add icing to the cake here, winds gusting 20-30 mph along the Gulf Coast and into southern GA with half an inch of accumulated ice would be quite damaging i would imagine.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This is the coldest winter storm output I’ve ever seen from the UK. Simply unbelievable computage being computerized

 

[malak05]

So is there like a emergency protocal for when all the models start throwing weenie runs over and over again... Do we break a glass and press a button or something???? Been here a minute but this is almost a first

 

[RollTide18]

Will this keep trending north? I’m close to being on the line now

 

[albertwilsonjr]

It’s happening, everyone stay calm


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[CNCsnwfan1210]

This is the coldest winter storm output I’ve ever seen from the UK. Simply unbelievable computage being computerized View attachment 163616

The GFS and Euro have been cold during the precip, upper teens and low 20s, this cold airmass is legit


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[Chattownsnow]

Given the GFS’s progressive bias at this range I would say it is exactly where you want it right now. Not sure I’ve seen anything quiet like this in my years of model watching dating back to 2009

 

[rburrel2]

This is the coldest winter storm output I’ve ever seen from the UK. Simply unbelievable computage being computerized View attachment 163616

Yea, the Ukie is allergic to showing snow in the long range. This is one of the biggest signs we have something here.

 

[albertwilsonjr]

Is there anyway we have to deal with a warm nose with system like this


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[Rain Cold]

The GFS and Euro have been cold during the precip, upper teens and low 20s, this cold airmass is legit


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Check the Canadian. It's actually hard to believe what we're seeing. They don't make them like this anymore. I can't even imagine this could actually happen. But man, this air mass is frigid. What in the world?

 

[CaryWx]

So icon,cmc, uk and gfs to a lesser extent all hitting on 0z. Nice

 

[Rain Cold]

Is there anyway we have to deal with a warm nose with system like this


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Oh yeah

 

[1300m]

Yea, the Ukie is allergic to showing snow in the long range. This is one of the biggest signs we have something here.

Based on the 18z Euro / 00z UKMET (not to mention throw in the 00z CMC with a similar look) you have to think the 00z Euro is going to be pretty good.

 

[albertwilsonjr]

Oh yeah

What are the 850 showing


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[Myfrotho704_]

Gefs coming in hot. More TPV, more westward digging. great combo

 

[John1122]

The UKIE would have a more expansive precip footprint than what it actually just spit out imo. I'd bet it would throw snow to the Ohio River instead of the Tennessee river. Models seem to always underestimate the N/NW side of Gulf lows.

 

[Rain Cold]

What are the 850 showing


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Depends on where you are. No way to nail down any specifics yet. Not even close. We just want a long-duration arctic air mass, and a suppressed system at this range.

 

[John1122]

Is there anyway we have to deal with a warm nose with system like this


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Someone always has to with a Miller A, it's just according to where you're at.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Gefs looks slightly more suppressed but significantly colder. We are doing things right