Brandon10
Member
My main concern is becoming 850s in the so called coastal spots that were favored...
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Wintry January 21-23 2025
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
WxBlue
Meteorologist
I'd be feeling good if I'm on I-85 corridor. Further adjustments should favor y'all + WAA + isentropic upglide should bring it home for y'all.
We’ve got a monster in the making. It wants that PCB benchmark
CMC looking pretty consistent so far @66
I want to say the CMC/RGEM won a coup over the GFS/Euro back in Dec. 2017 not exactly same setup but it was showing a heavy banding type event for area in AL/GA and others were not and it ended up being closer to right then others
Tokenfreak
Member
Yeah me too. Looks more like ice/freezing rain then snow. This is concerning.
jeremy.ashley79
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 3
- Reaction score
- 4
GFS definitely showing more of a neutral tilt.
iGRXY
Member
Not a doubt in my mind there would be more precip on that NW side.
We’re so close to something really special. What a scene this would be
CMC is a tick stronger/further west with the southernmost piece of the shortwave at hour 84 but otherwise looks unchanged
Just small changes to the tilt will have big implications on strength/position of the slp coming out of the Gulf. GFS was not far away from something much more significant, seemed a little slower (3-6 hours) compared to past couple runs. If you want to see where this is going, just look at it compared to the 12z run yesterday.
Stormsfury
Member
FGEN will be insane with that.
There's no doubt that's looking like it's setting up a dual jet structure in the upper levels.
And to comment on WeatherNC comment, it's definitely a bit slower, which brings in the mixing/ice concerns... more time to warm nose
Now let's see the Euro take the plunge. We know it's, coming, Euro. Just go ahead and do it.
Yeah I was looking at that. GFS is still underdoing things!
This is the kind of map that should have a lot of the board excited 4-5 days out IMO. Of course, it would be nice to have the ICON on board and definitely the Euro.
astroworld123
Member
Hey im new here how is it looking for Raleigh NC
It almost has to take a step back from 00z; that was simply ridiculous lol.
CMC pretty much lockstep with 0z thru 78 
folks i think the canadian is about to do it again
iGRXY
Member
More interaction with the N/S this run as well.
usually this is what you want to seeastroworld123
Member
Hahah hey fellow Cary friend I see the models just wondering if there were specific insights for us.
Just gotta over come a little dry air no biggie
beanskip
Member
Already cold CMC even colder out in front of the storm , like 12z ICON was -- perhaps sign of more suppression?
iGRXY
Member
This should be another big dog. The N/S is further south and more interaction so far.
HOLLA
Cary_Snow95
Member
GFS is snow in the low 20s for Central North Carolina
Stormsfury
Member
CMC about to perfect track looking like a Central FL crossing... my goodness she's been consistent for 8 cycles or more now.
wow
Member
It'll be further south with the heaviest precip axis.. more pos tilt here. Still a nice run.
Tilt isn’t as good as 0z but this should still make a lot of folks happy
packfan98
Moderator
Tokenfreak
Member
Now that's what I am talking about. Lets be nice and keep the coastal areas in play as freezing rains sucks lolSolid!
ITUSETOSNOW
Member
It's the same for Atlanta.
That's it, I am all in "Team Canada". Looks like the GFS is trending that way also.
RollTide18
Member
CMC keeping me alive, hope it’s on to something