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Wintry January 21-23 2025

Here it comes on the Icon 00z
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Increasingly looking like this is a bigger deal for coastal regions. That Arctic air is heavy and while the storm is there you’re probably not going to see as many NW adjustments as you’d think we would especially with the cold air being established already.

A lot of the deep SE might see snow but the highest totals I would think would be by coastal regions. Which in and of itself will be a remarkable story for those areas.
 
Increasingly looking like this is a bigger deal for coastal regions. That Arctic air is heavy and while the storm is there you’re probably not going to see as many NW adjustments as you’d think we would especially with the cold air being established already.

A lot of the deep SE might see snow but the highest totals I would think would be by coastal regions. Which in and of itself will be a remarkable story for those areas.
Yeah I couldn't agree anymore. There may be some small NW adjustments, but I think its getting more and more locked in at this point to be mainly a costal area event for the heaviest stuff. I do think some of the midlands in SC could still see some heavy snow though as well.
 
it gets squashed. very bad look. that ull contours off and well gets left/smashed into a pancake
 
My point forecast has 30 percent chance of snow, so if that percent comes up over the next few days that'll tell me it's coming up like I think it will.
Larry, thinking about it maybe you can charge up the units with the cig lighter in the car. Something to check in case you get a bad one. Fill up the car.
 
Honestly it taking the extra energy off ull wouldve figured more amped suppersion not as bad but definitely there we will hold serve not concerned with suppersion in this window just yet like said talk to me Saturday afternoon
 
Need the N/S to dig over the plains vs the Midwest otherwise it really doesn't matter what the vort coming down the coast does. Not only would it mean suppression but it would pretty much take everybody east of the Mississippi almost completely out of it. You could maybe get some snow showers along the immediate coast but that's it.
 
so far at hour 78 the western shortwave is in the same position, maybe a touch stronger and a little more west. not a lot of run to run change so far.
 
View attachment 164394
To me this isn't a bad look and I would think there should be more expansive precip
Meh, need a little more SW flow to bring that gulf moisture up overtop the cold dome. But overall not a bad place to be 5 days out
 
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