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Wintry January 21-23 2025

I guess the one exception would be a rain changing to snow type set up where the cold air is coming in during the storm. Other than that really I would say that all winter storms have at least some period of overrunning at some point. With the February 2004 storm everyone remembers the upper low passing by that dumped so much snow on CLT metro in just a few hours, but even that storm saw a huge overrunning event earlier in the day that had already put down 8-12” in a lot of areas that would get hit hard by the upper low that night.

That’s what happen in 2004 and 2014. My totals were like 8-10” with Both and ULL swung through and I got lucky each time and made it to 13”


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We need that Atlantic ridge further from us. This was a big step here this afternoon but not enough as is. Plenty of time View attachment 162954
My default position is not to worry too much about the Canadian. I feel better when the Euro and GFS are looking good and the Canadian is meh than the other way around.
 
I've been noticing that too. The trough is just wanting to set up east this winter. What a nice contrast to winters of late!
Patterns repeat once established.
See the last 2-5 years regarding troughs in the West,
See the same things 60's-80's.
Looks like we r establishing a wonderful pattern at the right time of year for a change of the past half decade or so!
🙏🥰🥶❄️🌨️
 
i haven't done a ton of digging, taken last day or so off of model watching but the incoming pattern does seem to be a reload, with a great angle for the cold coming in and potentially better synoptics to work with so it doesn't shock me to get a class a weenie run
 
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i haven't done a ton of digging, taken last day or so off of model watching but the incoming pattern does seem to be a reload, with a great angle for the cold coming in and potentially better synoptics to work with so it doesn't shock me to get a class a weenie run
Is this a banana high set up we might have going? Didn't really see a new England cold pump centered up there.
 
Can someone post the whole storms lifecycle from Weatherbell?
 
That’s what happen in 2004 and 2014. My totals were like 8-10” with Both and ULL swung through and I got lucky each time and made it to 13”


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Yeah I got in good on both where I lived in southern Cabarrus County. Got 9.6” during the day from overrunning and another 10.5” that evening. I’ll never forget the amount of lightning I saw that evening
 
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