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Wintry January 21-23 2025

Metwannabe said:
I'm assuming partially due to TPV being modeled further SW? Not sure but it's entirely different than the Euro/GFS that's for sure

View attachment 164101
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Yeah, that northern stream energy around Wisconsin and Canada looks totally different than the last run. Seems to be jumping around too much from run to run to put much weight into it unless the rest of the 12z suite matches this run.
 
definitely going to be amped up
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packfan98 said:
Yeah, that northern stream energy around Wisconsin and Canada looks totally different than the last run. Seems to be jumping around too much from run to run to put much weight into it unless the rest of the 12z suite matches this run.
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But it's definitely faster with the Baja Feature the 5 cycles thru hour 81 on TT.

I think it's going to light up this run.
 
iGRXY said:
View attachment 164105ICON skirts' our LP west to east vs SW to NE so you don't get the bigger totals north but I absolutely love this look at this lead time.
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Northern fringes have 850 temps around -12 and surface upper teens low 20s while snowing, they would be very good ratios
 
I'm sorry but I know I'm the "worst" mod for deleting one liners, etc but my thought process is if one can, all can, and if 5 or 6 decide to do the same all of a sudden you're having to weed through dozens of post to get to good discussion. So please quote the post and post it in banter or just go there to type up those excited one line post.

Thanks, Meanager
 
Do any models like the icon/uk/cmc hold weight at all or do you basically need the euro on your side for the most likely outcome? I’m new to model watching but seems most people think every model is bad besides euro?
 
Metwannabe said:
I'm sorry but I know I'm the "worst" mod for deleting one liners, etc but my thought process is if one can, all can, and if 5 or 6 decide to do the same all of a sudden you're having to weed through dozens of post to get to good discussion. So please quote the post and post it in banter or just go there to type up those excited one line post.

Thanks, Meanager
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You're doing a great job. Thanks.
 
tempo47 said:
Do any models like the icon/uk/cmc hold weight at all or do you basically need the euro on your side for the most likely outcome? I’m new to model watching but seems most people think every model is bad besides euro?
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You’re gonna want to get the euro on board. That doesn’t mean it’s always right “first”. It can be stubborn at times but with this system it’s not like it never had it. It did have it but sort of went the wrong direction the last two cycles.
 
tempo47 said:
Do any models like the icon/uk/cmc hold weight at all or do you basically need the euro on your side for the most likely outcome? I’m new to model watching but seems most people think every model is bad besides euro?
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You definitely want the Euro to come around very soon or concern increases
 
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