If that is wrong, the entire suite is going down together. Completely locked in.
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Wintry January 21-23 2025
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
If that is wrong, the entire suite is going down together. Completely locked in.
Hard to ask for more from the CMC Ensemble in terms of the way it looks. Cold with a wet slider
Based on those thicknesses, ratios might truly be close to 20:1 on the northern edge.
SimeonNC
Member
So apparently Euro went with a GFS-like solution from what I'm hearing. I'm hoping the EPS mean still shows something
Cary_Snow95
Member
Did euro just step towards the gfs…
SnowwxAtl
Member
Apparently, it did. This is the first warning shot with a GFS/Euro combo. Don't be too scared. I think this will roar back on Saturday.
GEPS
Stormsfury
Member
The EURO absolutely weakened the E PAC ridge by a LOT. Completely changed the flow to straight NW/SE, doesn't allow the Western Dig at all... My Guess is it lost the s/w in a lack of data region...
accu35
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 8,642
- Reaction score
- 10,785
Those looks awesome!! All the ENS @ 0z tonight were not suppress.
John1122
Member
Rough to see the Euro somehow get more amped/warmer than the GFS in one run. Hopefully both are out to lunch. Still a long way out.
what? the euro was literally snowing on the fish. very cold run.
More of a miller A style type H5 pattern on the EPS now 
John1122
Member
The second wave the GFS has been showing, amped up. The Euro just copy/pasted the GFS with it. Except warmer/more amped.
John1122
Member
Anything is possible. There could very likely be a second wave slop fest like they just showed.
Stormsfury
Member
Current WPC Hazards and their surface maps day6-7... no real change on threat level...
not terrible at all depending on how the shortwave is modeled but lack of overrunning will hurt board members west of the carolinas
Six Mile Wx
Member
Hurts that we lost the EPS overrunning look. Hopefully just a blip. That was a big change
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Six Mile Wx
Member
0z AIFS is not loading from WeatherBell.
Latest AI is wayyy suppressed, barely anything
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
06z icon showed some snow starting to break out in TX hr 120, not sure what the rest of that run would have looked like.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
It wouldn’t take but a couple bumps west for that to be a good one
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
I get the worry about suppression/a more SE track. But check out this GFS trend in the Ma/NE. Way closer in range as well.. 
And believe it or not the GFS is getting closer at H5, slowly. Especially with the northern stream wave slowing and backing up, and Cali ULL speeding up 
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Beginning of a good trend hopefully with this particular model, we already saw better trends with the GEFS last night.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Even one more tick this same magnitude in this direction and the GFS is probably back. 
Key is that piece of energy moving into CA. That needs to be sampled if we want better models outputs .. won’t come ashore for another day or so
In no way did the EURO step toward the GFS. The GFS sends a low cutting to the GL while the EURO was more suppressed.
Clear trend on the GEFS to the northern stream trough backing up and digging more. Seems like we changing the characteristics of this storm on the EPS/GEFS to something more northern stream dominant 
packfan98
Moderator
6z GEFS seems to be cooking.
QPF trend associated with the changes at H5 
Yeh I am sure the GFS will begin throwing haymakers by 18z again.
packfan98
Moderator
I don’t think I hate it. Easier to hone in if we get a clean tracking Miller A that can turn the corner and potentially hit the entire eastern seaboard. What do you think?