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Wintry January 21-23 2025

Shawn said:
I from the bottom of my whole heart, hope that you get the 2 inches of ice so you will develop some common sense while helping take it away from the others around you who know better.
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Larry Cosgrove wished an inch of ice on somebody way back in the day on American and then left
 
At this rate the Canadian model will have foothills region sunny , with sunglasses on at night to drown out the moonlight.

It's looking more promising for the mountains and south and east of Foothills as models are currently showing those areas getting hit pretty good.
 
I think people just need to advert their eyes from the UKMet…

Not in the good way.

Edit: NM it’s trying to look better.
 
Arcc said:
I think people just need to advert their eyes from the UKMet…

Not in the good way.

Edit: NM it’s trying to look better.
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its colder and snowing on i10 and the ocean or something with my low reso maps
 
rduwx said:
Classic moment in weather forum history! Brandon and several others taught him a lesson on CAD in the SE. He didn’t have a choice. He’d still be eaten crow to this day. 😂
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Yeah. That was the storm I ended up saying for whom underestimate in situ CAD are about to get a Wedge Wedgie...

Edit: the UKMET WTF!
Um, Casino Boss... just cash me out right now.
 
1300m said:
I'm starting to wonder if part of the reason the CMC is picking up on the storm despite wildly different H5 solutions is because it often does a better job of recognizing cold air masses and the baroclinicty associated with them. The GFS does not look correct with this and is probably one reason it is missing out on the isentropic upglide associated with this event. This is just a theory, but you can see below during the heart of the Canadian event what a difference there is.
View attachment 163998
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I know its the Canadian but that may be the coldest I've ever seen the entirety of NA modeled; wow!.
 
You're totally
DixieBlizzard said:
Well, before the 0z Greek model is released:

The Forecast Discussion by GSP is disappointing, even for a guy living in GA. That office used to have some of the best winter weather discussions in the country or at the least, in the region. You would read a paltry discussion by FFC (unless written by Nelson) but you always had GSP to count on for detailed breakdowns of modeling including ensembles. Perhaps too soon? Maybe but to rely heavily on a 12z Ops run of the Euro for that office? Just seems disappointin
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DixieBlizzard said:
Well, before the 0z Greek model is released:

The Forecast Discussion by GSP is disappointing, even for a guy living in GA. That office used to have some of the best winter weather discussions in the country or at the least, in the region. You would read a paltry discussion by FFC (unless written by Nelson) but you always had GSP to count on for detailed breakdowns of modeling including ensembles. Perhaps too soon? Maybe but to rely heavily on a 12z Ops run of the Euro for that office? Just seems disappointing and rather lazy. Just my .02.
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I totally agree with you on the Forecast Discussion by GSP. And it seems they have changed fairly recently. Whoever does them now are definitely warm bias or anti snow bias. I've noticed even when they do mention a chance that things could get interesting, they kinda do it in an almost snide way.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
probably gonna be a ENC storm this run. Not far from the UK but not as good View attachment 164011
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That's pretty "jumpy" for the Euro. It went from big time squashing the wave in the SW to bringing the wave out farther east than the UKMet. May be time to lean on the Euro AI instead....and the EPS of course
 
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