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Wintry January 21-23 2025

Oh how little people forget not even a week ago we went to a super amped in the mid levels look just so quickly. The problem is people have a satisfaction need to see these things 10 days out on every single run. I guarantee you that suppressed looks at day 7 is what you want and quite frankly need.
 
iGRXY said:
Oh how little people forget not even a week ago we went to a super amped in the mid levels look just so quickly. The problem is people have a satisfaction need to see these things 10 days out on every single run. I guarantee you that suppressed looks at day 7 is what you want and quite frankly need.
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People want to be in the bullseye each run from day 10 to day 0.
 
Mitch West said:
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mind if somebody posts a trend of the last 4 runs for this image?

edit- nvm

ie suppression, i'm not concerned about a low ending up in key west but i am concerned about our wave getting chewed up in the south west to a point where we're not taking advantage of this setup's full potential. these things typically have a way of working out but the underwhelming ops do strike a little bit of fear in my heart
 
ILMRoss said:
mind if somebody posts a trend of the last 4 runs for this image?

edit- nvm

ie suppression, i'm not concerned about a low ending up in key west but i am concerned about our wave getting chewed up in the south west to a point where we're not taking advantage of this setup's full potential. these things typically have a way of working out
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gfs-ensemble-all-avg-se-total_snow_10to1-1736942400-1737568800-1737568800-40.gif
 
WolfpackHomer91 said:
This is the struggle lol....bc lets be honest, good OR bad, if youre in the Bullzeye now.....you wont be by gametime. (No im not Nostradamus or trying to be a know it all, its simply historically dang near impossible to do)
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If you're in the bullseye around day 7-10, you best hope for a southerly trend in the short term so the day 3-5 NW trend puts you in prime positioning..
 
May be wrong, but to me at least, the GEFS is beginning to look more excited about what may happen later in the week.

I'm on my phone tho so it wouldn't be easy for me to compare.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
May be wrong, but to me at least, the GEFS is beginning to look more excited about what may happen later in the week.

I'm on my phone tho so it wouldn't be easy for me to compare.
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That's because it's handling the energy differently than other models. If the energy comes out quickly, those looks will disappear.
 
ForsythSnow said:
Energy layout will be locked in by then. It'll not have time to trend far enough north. It's a fine line. Worse yet it can keep going south and we don't see anything north of I 10.
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exactly give the southern tier their Eye candy for another 24hrs....then pull it up 100 miles where Climo says it should be. I mean hey, as long as Nashville gets blanked We can all celebrate jmo
 
ForsythSnow said:
Energy layout will be locked in by then. It'll not have time to trend far enough north. It's a fine line. Worse yet it can keep going south and we don't see anything north of I 10.
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Energy has routinely changed in the day 3-5 range. The models flipped every 24 hours until about 36 hours out with the last storm between flat and amped. If y’all want to be in a storms bullseye at day 4 or 5 be my guest but I’ve seen this long enough to know you won’t like the end result.
 
Euro has something
1737504000-NzSRVUUaXZ8.png
 
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