iGRXY
Member
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Wintry January 21-23 2025
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
tjed73
Member
I feel bad for scrolling through here and thinking "I hope this moves to crush the charlotte area" because that means the whole rain/snow line moves and the storm busts for people in GA and SC.
wow
Member
ULL going bye bye on the 12z gfs
beanskip
Member
Hard to overstate the impact a 12z ICON verification would have on Tallahassee and surrounding areas -- ever seen ice and snow cover moss-laden live oaks? Can't get to the soundings, but it looks to be in the 20s with precip for about 14 hours. Of course it won't verify, but if it did ....
iGRXY
Member
I Like it
Seems like the GFS at 06z loss the amplitude of the western ridge, hence why it doesn’t really dig. This run is better, but don’t think it’s enough either but could be wrong. It is a outlier with that though
Stormsfury
Member
Northern stream digs more but the Baja Low feature continues to hang back. It could work but I don't know.
12z GFS still an outlier at 03z Monday compared to 00z UKMET / 06z ECMWF / 12z ICON / 12z CMC.
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wow
Member
still drags in that damn ULL ..nope noppe nope
Stormsfury
Member
Ahhhh, the GFS Rex Blocks the E Pac Ridge... Sheesh
Hope the CMC isn’t digging to much here… 
Forevertothee
Member
If this were reversed......GFS in our corner against the Euro, UKMET, and ICON, you know how the board would feel. Despair. I'd rather be in the camp with Euro, UKMET, and Icon over GFS, any day.
Not the faintest on what to do with that bowling ball 
wasn't the gfs giving us some weird cutter for the past storm at points too.?
RTRwx
Member
That GFS-depicted 1044 high over central MS is gonna suppress everything to the Yucatán.
iGRXY
Member
CMC will definitely be more amplified
12z CMC looks like it should be a big hit. We'll see.
JLL1973
Member
gfs is probably going to be a horrible run
Could be a big one though
Forevertothee
Member
And continues to be much different at H5 than all other models.
iGRXY
Member
More amplified but still a nice cold coast to coast look. This could be a monster
Cary_Snow95
Member
GFS took a big step toward other guidance. It’ll fold
Stormsfury
Member
The GFS looks like it Rex Blocked the E Pac High and actually has some retrogression on the low features between Hawaii and California. Not sure if I'm buying that
Here it comes. Looks to similar to 0z so far - but maybe a bit warmer
iGRXY
Member
Whoa
Round Oak Weather
Member
SE ridge flexing more?
beanskip
Member
Oh yeah, we've got the GFS low right where we want it ....
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Canadian is going to be a QPF monster 
Its solid QPF as it travels across panhandle and looks like its then blowing up from there
CMC is going to be closer to the amped UK solution, at-least initially. It sure is taking its time ejecting the trough axis east and I'm not sure it will in time. Still a high degree of volatility in the 12z ops at H5 and I would expect that to continue for a few more days.
It’s a winner of a look. It’s all you can ask for 
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GDPS is really warm at 700 mb. Turns everything to sleet at 168 hours. Why are we losing the cold up top?
RollTide18
Member
So if I’m following this correctly
So far today
GFS and ICON are suppressed
UKMET and CMC are amped?
So far today
GFS and ICON are suppressed
UKMET and CMC are amped?