packfan98
Moderator
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Wintry January 21-23 2025
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
1050mb high
packfan98
Moderator
Ice
Sheesh
Mahomeless
Member
I love the SW/NE orientation of that HP....should be a golden run here...
Thanks
Stormlover
Member
Like @griteater has been saying...west to east as opposed to plunging straight down to the S or SE. Beautiful. Really couldn't ask for better.
rburrel2
Member
I'm tingling guys. I don't think I've ever seen a threat look this good 8 days out. The goal posts for this event are record breaking wide... and the players on the field are large-scale and shouldn't swing too wildly here soon.
I think our only fail mode is if the energy gets cut off out west and we don't get enough bend in the flow for an overrunning event, but even in that scenario, the gulf coast probably scores.
(Famous last words.... but I don't see how we rain from this look)
I think our only fail mode is if the energy gets cut off out west and we don't get enough bend in the flow for an overrunning event, but even in that scenario, the gulf coast probably scores.
(Famous last words.... but I don't see how we rain from this look)
packfan98
Moderator
Lots of us would be going off the grid for a while…
Well welcome to the Ice Age... won't be too concerned with with types at this moment the storm signal is right there with GFS
Heavy ZR with temps in the low to mid 20’s. Pass 
belowfreezing
Member
Amazing run other than all the Ice in the Carolinas. Amazing look in general 8 days out.
20 degree wedge 
rburrel2
Member
I don't think it can be overstated how wide our goal posts are here... we can have a storm come out literally 2-3 days later than the GFS shows and we still get a major winter storm,(maybe more icy than snowy, but still crazy.)
The track of the short wave can be significantly higher or lower as well, or more neutral/neg tilt, and it won't make much difference for us. We will winter storm either way.... we just need there to be a storm in general.
The track of the short wave can be significantly higher or lower as well, or more neutral/neg tilt, and it won't make much difference for us. We will winter storm either way.... we just need there to be a storm in general.
Crazy how consistent the models are with these nuclear freezing rain totals.
RollTide18
Member
What a tease for us down south, looks like we’re about to get a good snowstorm and then boom ice storm
Lol. Temps below zero in the morning followed by 10 inches of snow.
Reminds me 2014, I’ve never seen the models as locked in as they were for that storm. Thankfully a lot of it was sleet instead for the CAE area.
Jake0518
Member
Did Feb 2014 show something similar to this this far out?
Geps 
Snowlover34
Member
After seeing that euro run I would love to cash in please
The CMC Ensembles are on-board!
Cad Wedge NC
Member
I don't see how we get freezing rain with temps in the teens. No way....
Correct...I think just sleet/snow.
ITUSETOSNOW
Member
Hey Mitch, I love your vids on YouTube...
packfan98
Moderator
It did happen in 2002 if I remember correctly. I hope I never see it again.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Yeah that's...very alarming.
I know that this is banter, but if this is showing in a couple days, this is I need to skip town and I probably won't be back for a week caliber bad.
rburrel2
Member
Are you being genuine or do you think this is coming north? lol. I can see some north trends with the precip shield, but I don't see how we could wind up with a surface low tracking inland here.
Thank you!
When was the last time we had a signal this loud 7 days out? Feb 2014?
Alright now that the storm is solidly in place 200 hours out… let’s bring her NW a bit to get me in the game!
One thing is for sure someone most likely deals with an absolute devastating ice storm
One thing is for sure someone most likely deals with an absolute devastating ice storm
Snowlover34
Member
I know this is banter but hey Mitch your youtube videos is awesome and i’m a new subscriber. Keep up the good work I know i’m not in your state but i’m showing the love on your channel from Alabama
You'll need a nuclear generator if this pans out.
I'm hoping we keep this thing on the mat for the next 5 days or so.
We did get something close during the 2002 ice storm. But I agree, much more sleet would be realized, along with a stronger CAD. There's even some supported high pressure to the north. But a long way to go with this one.
Snowflowxxl
Member
This looks like a carbon copy of 2/12/14 as many have stated. The ice didn’t verify nearly as bad as the models indicated for that storm. It was bad in some areas but not nearly as widespread as modeled.
rburrel2
Member
I didn't have that on my bingo card for the 12z runs. Holy smokes... This just keeps getting better.