SnowwxAtl
Member
Lower cloud deck is leading to pronounce flurries near the airport
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Wintry January 21-23 2025
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Belle Lechat
Member
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BKWRN29
Member
How do you see the air soundings? The radar has us covered in snow but it’s not snowing
EastmanGAWX
Member
If some of the projected totals for some models in far SE Georgia (around St. Marys/Kingsland/SSI) come to fruition, it will be similar to the very notable storm that affected that region in January 1800.
TigerSnow
Member
I feel like a lot of that will be falling as Virga unfortunately.
I hope I’m wrong but I feel like a lot of that is virga, it’s going to be hard to eke out stuff in north Charlotte. Also seems like the models have trended back south a bit.
stboo6
Member
Mobile live camera!
Practically a dusting lolYeah, but the Kuchera for Tallahassee is only 7 inches, so you know, no biggie ....
connorsclimate
Member
Is this even reliable
Flo
Member
Not good I assume?dew point dropping CAE .
WxBlue
Meteorologist
Hard to not see how 2-3" banding forms over Raleigh/US-1 corridor at this point. Just have to trust in the good ol' frontogenesis magic.
If the dew point is a couple degrees or so cooler then the actual temperature then it's fine.dew point dropping CAE .
yeh it's 3 lol
Yeah we’ve lost some ground since the crazy NAM run this morning. I think if you start seeing a finger of moisture on the SW side of town around lunch time we’re in decent shape. If we don’t get that, we’re probably SOL
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GFS edged the .10 line back to GSO
connorsclimate
Member
Who knows maybe we will get like a foot
Yes and if you look at sounding that the latest NAM and FV3 initialized with, you can see that the dry is fairly shallow. It certainly explains why we’re seeing flurries reaching the ground under some of these returns a few hours earlier than expected
Showmeyourtds
Member
JMO, but I think this ship has sailed for areas along and north of I-20.. Doesn't mean you may not see a flake or 2, but the hopes of any accumulation, even a car topper are probably close to zero
Well if the GFS is right - Atlanta is shut down for a few days. I’m skeptical but hey who knows!
BKWRN29
Member
I honestly think is accounting for everything on the radar hitting the ground which is not happening in my case. I’m in Dallas County Alabama and it’s covered in the radar but it’s not making it to the ground
Mahomeless
Member
I agree....Im thinking 20-30 miles south of the I20/85 corridor is where you will start to see light dustings across AL/GA
Tokenfreak
Member
Anyone else feel like the CHS NWS office is underplaying this event?
SimeonNC
Member
This is the first time where I think the GFS might be closer to reality than the HRRR/NAM
Is CAE playing uno instead of forecasting Winter weather? I mean an inch or less? Lol
The NWS as a whole has been conservative, but it's the SE so I get it. Gotta assume they know what they're doing despite some of these models showing way more. I think mixing issues is part of it too.
RollTide18
Member
Snow coming down a little bit more now, looks awesome with the wind blowing
packfan98
Moderator
What a trend. Please be right for the western areas!
Tokenfreak
Member
I just basically said the same thing for CHS a few posts up lol
beanskip
Member
Psalm 148:8
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So being the ignorant one of this map.. would that be inside the dark green line?? Or inside those hatched green circles?
WxBlue
Meteorologist
Second call forecast. May do one more minor adjustment or a few this afternoon before calling it my final forecast.
I simply cannot fathom 6 inches of snow in Savannah, that doesn't compute in my brian
Snowflowxxl
Member
GFS is off its rocker. Sad because it did really well on this storm for most of it.
Cary_Snow95
Member
I wouldn’t fret too much. Over the years I’ve always noticed the hrrr is useless beyond like 6 hours for totals
WolfpackHomer91
Member
any idea what its doing that hrrr and shorts arent ? Also for shorts, (Im at work) whos verifying currently closest to real ? Thats who we should ride good or badWhat a trend. Please be right for the western areas!
tractor girl
Member
Athens here but on a similar track as you. I'm thinking we get a trace amount if that at the rate this is tracking.
