rusrius
Member
Light snow falling here in Chapin and it's already sticking. That's way ahead of schedule.
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Wintry January 21-23 2025
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Kinda typical to see models kinda dry back out near veri. Not shocked. Hrrr will probably do that as well until it’s actually snowing
1-2 for Raleigh and up to 1 in Charlotte is best we will probably do for inland locations
TigerSnow
Member
Seems like with dry and lack of precip it’s going to be struggle for most north of Charlotte. Like you said the models are backing off the NE trend.
Oh
FamouslyHot
Member
Just checked and snowing in Ballentine too! Some veryyyy light accumulation under that narrow band
SegTindoPro
Member
Getting some virga in SE AL
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Cary_Snow95
Member
I will say, it’s unsettling that the RGEM has nothing
tazaroo
Member
Probably just hopeful thinking but the area of Virga extending from Georgia through the Carolinas seems to be setting up pretty far NW. I know its the intellicast radar lol.
The 3km is almost on top of the EPS...what it's spitting out seems reasonable but I do think the .1" line probably is back to GSO
EPS mean is usually fairly good. The event 10 days ago the EPS was showing .25" (give or take) and RDU got 0.51".
LovingGulfLows
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3km NAM has an absurdly tight gradient in Alabama and parts of west central GA. You could be 5 miles away and literally know snow is falling for hours while you're on the outside looking in if your area sets up on the dry side of the precip. shield. This is still a nowcast event for sure.
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I like what I am seeing downstream with these reports out of the midlands. I wonder if it holds here and we get snow earlier than forecast.
Showmeyourtds
Member
Clouds are starting to break up here. Radar also looks to be drying as well.
Temp is 22.1, dew 10, RH 59 (down from 60 earlier).
Temp is 22.1, dew 10, RH 59 (down from 60 earlier).
EastmanGAWX
Member
Can anyone confirm any ground truth in parts of Mississippi that are above the main band? I just looked at the webcam out of Natchez and it looks as if they've only gotten a slight dusting on the grass and buildings.
Possibly longer too, still seeing snow in TX.
chuckhendo
Member
I just saw like 3 flakes here near Chapin SC and it's maybe the happiest I've ever been over 3 flakes. Hoping this means the modeled dry air was overdone, as many on this board have suggested
This is usually how it goes with wintry events it feels like. But I think we are going to have quite a lot of virga tracking today
rusrius
Member
Yeah, I'm getting it too. Opening the door for the onslaught later.
Round Oak Weather
Member
Wondering what that little line moving through Macon is doing
GeorgiaGirl
Member
I can confirm flurries.
If it's already doing this now with the dews being low...I'm curious what the band around 1 will look like.
If it's already doing this now with the dews being low...I'm curious what the band around 1 will look like.
beanskip
Member
Doing some cross checking on forecasts vs. actual obs.
Larto, La. jumps out .. forecast: 1/2 inch; actual right now 2.0 inches on ground and still snowing.
Similar with DeRidder, La. (far eastern central La.). Less than inch forecast, 1.5 inches on the ground.
Larto, La. jumps out .. forecast: 1/2 inch; actual right now 2.0 inches on ground and still snowing.
Similar with DeRidder, La. (far eastern central La.). Less than inch forecast, 1.5 inches on the ground.
EastmanGAWX
Member
Channel 13 stated that it was light flurries, but nothing noticeable was being depicted on the webcam that they use above downtown.
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Hobby airport just getting nailed the last hour or so:
| Date/Time (L) | Temp. (°F) | Dew Point (°F) | Relative Humidity (%) | Wind Chill (°F) | Wind Direction | Wind Speed (mph) | Visibility (miles) | Weather | Clouds (x100 ft) | Sea Level Pressure (mb) | Station Pressure (in Hg) | Altimeter Setting (in Hg) | 1 Hour Precip (in) | 3 Hour Precip (in) | 6 Hour Precip (in) | 24 Hour Precip (in) | 6 Hr Max (°F) | 6 Hr Min (°F) | 24 Hr Max (°F) | 24 Hr Min (°F) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 8:25 am | 27 | 25 | 93 | 15 | N | 15 | 0.24 | Snow, Freezing Fog | VV005 | 30.59 | 30.64 | |||||||||
| Jan 21, 8:20 am | 27 | 25 | 93 | 15 | N | 15G21 | 0.24 | Snow, Freezing Fog | VV006 | 30.59 | 30.64 | |||||||||
| Jan 21, 8:15 am | 27 | 25 | 93 | 15 | NNE | 15 | 0.25 | Snow, Freezing Fog | VV006 | 30.59 | 30.64 | |||||||||
| Jan 21, 8:10 am | 27 | 25 | 93 | 15 | N | 15 | 0.24 | Snow, Freezing Fog | VV006 | 30.59 | 30.64 | |||||||||
| Jan 21, 8:05 am | 27 | 25 | 93 | 16 | N | 12G17 | 0.24 | Hvy snow, Freezing Fog | VV006 | 30.60 | 30.65 | |||||||||
| Jan 21, 8:00 am | 27 | 25 | 93 | 16 | N | 13 | 0.24 | Hvy snow, Freezing Fog | VV007 | 30.60 | 30.65 | |||||||||
| Jan 21, 7:55 am | 27 | 25 | 93 | 15 | N | 14 | 0.25 | Snow, Freezing Fog | VV008 | 30.56 | 30.61 | |||||||||
| Jan 21, 7:53 am | 27 | 25 | 92 | 15 | N | 15 | 0.25 | Hvy snow, Freezing Fog | VV006 | 1037.10 | 30.56 | 30.61 | ||||||||
| Jan 21, 7:50 am | 27 | 25 | 93 | 14 | N | 16 | 0.25 | Snow, Freezing Fog | VV007 | 30.55 | 30.60 | |||||||||
| Jan 21, 7:45 am | 27 | 25 | 93 | 14 | NNE | 16 | 0.50 | Snow, Freezing Fog | VV011 | 30.55 | 30.60 | |||||||||
| Jan 21, 7:43 am | 27 | 24 | 89 | 15 | NNE | 16G25 | 0.50 | Snow, Freezing Fog | VV011 | 30.55 | 30.60 |
SegTindoPro
Member
It’s ice falling where I’m at does that mean the atmosphere is dry or?
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first impression is that p-type mischief will stay well south of NOLA, which is a pleasant surprise. Looks like they're well on their way to 5-9
Mahomeless
Member
Be careful doing that as places that are very uncommon for snow were likely under-forecasted. Your best bet is to look at modeled snow output vs actual obs. These places you mentioned consistently fell within the 4-10" range on almost every model.
Light snow flurries blowing around in Midtown Atlanta
MichaelJ
Member
18F 1F dew and humidity is 46% here. We are under a cold weather advisory which I think everyone can feel for themselves 
Same airport we had a long layover back in early August because the extreme heat was causing the runway to crumble in places. Talk about weather extremes lol
tractor girl
Member
Idk if models are overdoing wet-bulb but it is certainly dry here in Athens:
RollTide18
Member
Lots of snow mpings popping up in Alabama, even in Choctaw County where the 12z NAM had no snow at
Sctvman
Member
Psalm 148:8
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Anyone have one of those upper air maps that shows where the lift is..
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Here's my updated forecast map for this event in the Carolinas.
Expecting about 1-3" in the Triangle area, several inches in the coastal plain of NC. Heaviest snow I think will occur from around Goldsboro-Wilson to about Elizabeth City.
Expecting about 1-3" in the Triangle area, several inches in the coastal plain of NC. Heaviest snow I think will occur from around Goldsboro-Wilson to about Elizabeth City.
WolfpackHomer91
Member
20/0 38% Humidity Mooresville NC.....NWS Point says "Cloudy zero percent chance" now18F 1F dew and humidity is 46% here. We are under a cold weather advisory which I think everyone can feel for themselves
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Hhhmmm..lack of Mping reports to my west or sw, radar is not filling in, models shifting south with best precip...I don't think it's coming any further NW. Great to see the photos from the gulf coast!
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
FFC is now forecasting up to 5"