Ron Burgundy
Member
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Wintry January 21-23 2025
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Mahomeless
Member
I think the reports out in central and northern AR are related to the northern stream energy diving down…correct me if I am wrong. Should start to see that precip ending quickly from NW to SE across the state.
Brent
Member
Yes this is correct. That's why people thought we had no shot because ours was the northern stream which was supposed to fall apart basically as the energy transfers to the coast
Unfortunately I think there's a lot of virga too. Like I follow a DFW thing and hardly anyone has reported in
Mahomeless
Member
Yup. Just funny how Little Rock always finds a way to snow. No matter what
dsaur
Member
At a station a few miles away temp 19.2... rh 49.. dp3.4.. wb... 16.4... at 11:56
Yes it is. MPing reports are starting to show that
The state of Florida’s all-time record snowfall is 4” set back in the 1950s. It may not be surpassed with this storm, but it’s certainly within the realm of possibility. 
Ron Burgundy
Member
Mine here is now 18.1, rh 60, dp 6.5 wb 15.31
Brent
Member
Yup sorry to report but the nearest snow in DFW is an hour south unfortunately. I knew when nobody was reporting in it was grim. They'd be going crazy if there was any snow
I’m was speaking more to the returns over Arkansas
dsaur
Member
In light of what Nelson wrote from ffc, I don't think we are under virga for too very long. I think I'll try to get some sleep so I can watch it over perform.
Final call. Don’t @ me
Ron Burgundy
Member
Yep. Definitely not nearly as dry here as modeled
iGRXY
Member
Another big increase and shift NW
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Ik ppl keep going on n on about Jan 2014…. Not even near as similar imo as Jan 2022…. Look at the Orientation and Footprint based off Where the .1” QPF line would be with one more tick NW…. Here’s your analog
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What my school put out. Looks like scemd is telling them to monitor but they don’t expect precip to the 77 corridor
“It appears the current arctic cold blast will hit our area with little to no precipitation expected tomorrow into Wednesday. The greatest chance of impacts to ——— will be in relation to the cold—frozen or burst pipes, slick spots if precipitation remains on the ground, etc. Facilities Management staff has been preparing buildings for the cold, as well as staging deicer for distribution as needed.
Please be mindful of the very cold temperatures expected all this week and use caution when traveling, especially South and East of Columbia where more precipitation is expected. For students who may be traveling to ——— from areas with more serious impacts than what is expected here, please reach out to your faculty members directly.”
“It appears the current arctic cold blast will hit our area with little to no precipitation expected tomorrow into Wednesday. The greatest chance of impacts to ——— will be in relation to the cold—frozen or burst pipes, slick spots if precipitation remains on the ground, etc. Facilities Management staff has been preparing buildings for the cold, as well as staging deicer for distribution as needed.
Please be mindful of the very cold temperatures expected all this week and use caution when traveling, especially South and East of Columbia where more precipitation is expected. For students who may be traveling to ——— from areas with more serious impacts than what is expected here, please reach out to your faculty members directly.”
Xlhunter3
Member
Forevertothee
Member
Appears the 1 inch line has made it into the city of Greenwood, SC and into the southern parts of Laurens County. (Both Lower Upstate counties). Western Midlands now at 2 inches and none of those counties are under any advisory, currently.
Flo
Member
Will be by 3 or 6
Forevertothee
Member
Branch
Member
Is it moving in faster?
we got time to the east.
Euro Atari Maps
12z:
00z:
Euro Atari Maps
12z:
00z:
Probably my last obs until morning…
17/3 WB temp: 13.4
KATL (airport) 19/1 WB temp: 15.3
Edit: There’s been a steady increase in relative humidity at the airport all night, nearing 50% (49% currently)
17/3 WB temp: 13.4
KATL (airport) 19/1 WB temp: 15.3
Edit: There’s been a steady increase in relative humidity at the airport all night, nearing 50% (49% currently)
hrrr caving 
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Everyone asking about Ratios …. Take a look at CAE…
Verbatim here on 00Z EURO - .21” QPF = 3” Snow so Call it roughly 14-1 (2.95”)
Seems Reasonable. Plan for 12/1 and if you get anything better be happy Jmo. I don’t wanna Jinx anyone but even at .2” QPF and 12/1 that’s 2.5”
for CAE…. As of now I’d say that’s a solid Call.. 2-3” for That area
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WolfpackHomer91
Member
Laugh it up…. I tried. But here’s my call based off possible uptrends ect from current radar and historical analogs.
Grid - (Left to Right / Mountains to coast)
Section C - Dusting -2” (.05 -.1” QPF)
Section B - 2-3” (.15 -.25” QPF)
Section A - 3-6” (.25 -.4” QPF) (Greatest Chance of Pockets of lift enhancement
Section E - 1-3” SN / Sleet UP to 1/10” of ICE …. Possibly some Cold Rain (.4 -.6” QPF)
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The last time I saw the HRRR do this on such an extreme so close to an event was the ULL of Nov. 1 2014 (for mby)
Yeah lol this is an almost global like trend outside of 60 hours. But in reality it’s just to dry
Where are my sickos staying up for the 6z NAM? 
Found a GA road temp page
Most are in the 23-27 degree range across Metro Atlanta. Pretty wild!
Found a GA road temp page
Most are in the 23-27 degree range across Metro Atlanta. Pretty wild!
Philstorm91
Member
It's frustrating seeing all that snow to my west, just drying up on the radar just before it reaches my location. I guess it just takes a while for the column to get saturated.
Man the hrrr is cooking 
Looking great for you guys in the Carolinas. That’s a long moisture fetch
Yea fr… and we ain’t done yet I’m sure
Bruh. This area is actually in the play for 4-6 if this keeps up.
If these trends/HRRR verifies.. I can't help but think that this is the type of thing that happened back when I was a kid, getting surprise snows, especially when modeling wasn't nearly as good or "hourly" as it is now.
Now, we can just see the "surprise" a little earlier than looking outside.
Now, we can just see the "surprise" a little earlier than looking outside.