ForsythSnow
Moderator
HRRR coming in a lot more moist north it looks like. Don't think it has the plane data yet either.
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Wintry January 21-23 2025
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Mine was a legitimate question because the precipitation wasn't modeled in the northern areas, and I was wondering if there was an expert that could explain it. Yours is an emoji face, thus banter. Good job.
rburrel2
Member
what's funny as I think we want the precip in Southeastern Texas to be less expansive than modeled. That means the northern trough is tugging in quicker. You can see it on those Euro AI trends.
The precip in Dallas, TX/Oklahoma is probably a good sign though since it's purely from the northern energy.
The precip in Dallas, TX/Oklahoma is probably a good sign though since it's purely from the northern energy.
JQPublic
Member
My brother lives in the woodlands/spring and is seeing some sleet
Haha If that came to be all models need to be thrown
Yea hrrr continues to come west
Vs 18z
Vs 18z
beanskip
Member
HRRR warming up in much of south Bama/Ga./Florida
ColdCoreLow
Member
Moisture surging north
packfan98
Moderator
It has improved but not nearly as much as others but it's been stubborn so any movement NW on it is good imo
Whoa. Still got time to get that a couple more counties in. That’s a big deal to have Dr Nobot make a move like that
tlokpmalone
Member
Imma be honest I live in north metro atl and I was hoping for like 4 inches. But I feel like at this point even if it does keep ticking north, realistically it won’t actually change anything for me. But I guess you never know. (somebody give me encouragement)
Sctvman
Member
packfan98
Moderator
You think you’ve got a good chance of getting an inch of pure powder?
Mahomeless
Member
If this thing tilts much more, you’re going to have major mixing issues along the whole coast of GA/SC/NC
Branch
Member
Precip on this filling back to N Miss.
That's what I am talking about. Brings a lot of moisture to N. ALA
This map is OBSCENE. This is a HRRR map!! Showing 7.6” in PCB!
SimeonNC
Member
NoSnowATL
Member
Sleetfeast and I’m ok with that.
Well realistically probably keep fingers crossed for a continued northward stream of qpf and maybe sneak a inch of super dry snow.... But who knows maybe the hurricane hunter measuring data in gulf and ground truth to our west overperforming and bunking models
That's insane. This going to over perform to the point where people are going to be unprepared.
Pops
Member
Geez that gets us some up here in nw bama.wtheck?
No, I think this is going to stay just east of Wake county. We find creative ways to miss…last week missed 2-4” by 30-40 miles and will miss 2-4” to SE by 30-40 miles.
BKWRN29
Member
Was this predicted?? And is it making to it the ground?
As the trough trends more towards neutral, you can see the axis taking on a sw to ne orientation, vs wsw to ene. This is consistent with trends in the H triple R and NAM.
BKWRN29
Member
Plzzz don’t get my hopes up! When could we see this start to dry up, if it even does?
Philstorm91
Member
Seeing some actual radar returns drifting toward my location already.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
FV3 has a massive northward shift of moisture in MS... this could get interesting
That's a question for someone with letters behind there name. Between radar and the latest EURO AI, things are unticking in our area
ForsythSnow
Moderator
You can see the drastic change. I think this is plane data
Nam is STILL adjusting 
Mahomeless
Member
That’s going to be a lot of sleet I’m afraid
HRRR also showed moisture up north but it all consolidated south by the time it got towards us. Is that because it actually expects that to happen or just because it is only applying the bounce here in the earlier hours and we might expect our bounce later?
Doesn't even show the full extent of the moisture lol.
Branch
Member
Snow in s car before the storm