rburrel2
Member
Heights continue to trend higher in the Southeast out ahead of the system on the 18z GFS. 
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Wintry January 21-23 2025
- Thread starter SD
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This is the same exact thing we did in 2022. Sharpening up that northern stream and burying it around ar/mo 
NW trend continues on the GFS! 
tractor girl
Member
lame
Holy ---- 
weather bubba
Member
We are getting closer to having a light accumulation for the Eastern Piedmont with each model run today. The odds of seeing an inch are increasing and hopefully this trend will continue through the night.
Mahomeless
Member
Absolutely. Us in AL will be chasing or watching social media posts from the coast.
Atlantic Beach has gone from a dusting/coating to 8” in two runs within D2. Wow!!!
And of course it’s looking great for C NC snow chances, too. Maybe we can make out with 0.5-2”.
Thought this was a good call by @rburrel2 here that it was a good sign if the Euro bumped north, signaling that additional bumps north (NW) were possible, rather than everything just consolidating on the Euro solution
kstrickland0823
Member
I can only hope you’re right. WRAL keeps dropping totals.
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Little by little, the GFS is creeping northwestward over the SE.
Someone correct me if I am wrong but the Upper Level energy here if this just moves a little further west and tilts neutral (think north-south) we go from a little jog NW to a whole actually overrunning look still time not impossible as models pick up its depection in real time this moves back about 75-100 miles and tilts another 25 degrees its a much bigger deal
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Snow is reportedly reaching the ground west of Dallas with this sounding...
No MPing reports or any reports from the Storm2K Texas thread yet.
Mahomeless
Member
The SLP continues to slide off to the SE in the Gulf. I don’t know if I believe it, but it’s definitely not what you want to see in central GA/SC/NC.
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Mping has a few reports near Jacksboro, TX but maybe they are suspicious?
Xlhunter3
Member
Last 6 runs from the GFS
Sctvman
Member
It’s like when they asked Dale Jarrett what he thought about winning a million dollars for winning The Winston Race in Charlotte, and he said, “Another million never hurts”
Same here - another tick northwest with the trough tilt never hurts (for the inland crowd)
Just looking at that orientation array you have to believe there is another adjustment or two left.
Prolly too late to get big jumps but I’d love one
For N. ALA, some minor adjustments and we will have some ground cover.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Overrunning precip with mid level warm advection that fades and transitions into cold advection as the surface low starts to develop off the coast, causes a heavier band of snow to pivot somewhere over east-central nc. Looks like that could be I-95 &/or the US-1 corridor based on the NAM.
Likely would see more than a few inches wherever that sets up
Likely would see more than a few inches wherever that sets up
we keep getting these every 6hrs and it will add up more than you might expect.
Exactly Im on the northern extreme on these jogs to NW and sure a 1/3 of inch on cold ground and roads could be messy... but a little SE of me in Atlanta and a inch over this cold its gonna be nasty once surprise once again
Mahomeless
Member
Central AL needs to be praying for a weak HP that positions itself 100 miles north of where you’re seeing it modeled now. Seeing the moisture expansion north in LA is definitely eye catching, but if the SLP tracks east with any southerly component at all, it’s a lost cause for us.
Catfish
Member
Closing schools around ATL - Cobb Co closed tomorrow. They mentioned the winter storm watch, lol, which no longer exists and extreme cold.
Stormsfury
Member
Probably won't have enough time to do so but if you look at Wild Weather Mongers map, you'll notice offshore off of Ga/SC, the arctic boundary isn't as far offshore as previous maps, indicating the boundary is getting hung up over the Gulf Steeam and the best baroclinicity is riding along that, which is closer than it was just 24 hours ago...
Trending back to 1-2” for RDU/CLT isn’t out of the equation here…. Especially if we continue to work on the tilt. I think after what we were given the last couple of days, that would be awesome
Looking at the 3k nam and that’s a scary warning shot for the sc coast, hope it’s overdone but may be a lot of sleet like @Webberweather53 has been saying
Of course it was just a run of the NAM you posted a bit back but that looked to be on a fairly fat line from ~Fay. to ~Ahoskie on a sw-->ne axis. Hope this moves west. We'll see
Ron Burgundy
Member
Atlanta Public Schools just cancelled classes tomorrow. Nobody wants to be on the hook for a Snow Jam ‘25 
Bandits24
Member
Does the energy in the TX/OK panhandle have any bearing on this?
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Current radar VS 18z NAM
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Focus on those back west. The axis going north likely is going to see more snow in general if moisture rapidly penetrates.
Dynamics starting to out in some work, getting more divergence aloft which continues at 18z. Smells like a incoming overperfomer 
Mahomeless
Member
That northern stream energy parking that extremely dry air over north AL is disgusting!
WxBlue
Meteorologist
Something like this is definitely on the table, especially if you're in the dry slot between 700mb FGEN band and 850mb FGEN band. There will be some losers in between these two.