iGRXY
Member
This is starting to get dangerously close to a nothing burger for anybody not on the immediate coastline. Those icon and UK runs are starting to look more and more legit
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Wintry January 21-23 2025
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Philstorm91
Member
So are things trending more and more to a Gulf/lower East Coast special? It looks like my area should see the most out of this storm right now. Kind of weird being in the prime location for a change.
I think if/when NW trend doesn’t happen tonight, FFC would cancel the watches north of Macon.
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I would hope so, but even a half inch of snow would make things difficult for rush hour on Tuesday.
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
Winter Weather Advisories for Metro Atlanta, Winter Storm Warnings further south.
albertwilsonjr
Member
Latest from nws
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do better South Carolina 
ForsythSnow
Moderator
They're brining here too. Probably better safe than sorry. Even a little moisture and this thing could cause issues.
Sctvman
Member
Being in Charleston it’s kind of weird that we could literally have a snow that’s the opposite of climo only going 60-70 miles inland.
Mahomeless
Member
Unless you’re on the coast of Louisiana, I definitely wouldn’t get your hopes up. A positive tilted trough dragging across is going to spin up a low in the NW Gulf of America and drag it east and maybe even southeast across the Gulf.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Yeah, the Ukie idea is very, very much on the table now.
In fact, with me speaking about this, I just checked and it's every worse for LA than the 12z was on 18z. Still snows in LA but it's very, very deep in it and it's one more small adjustment away from a total whiff.
Don't think that'll be the case considering that the Ukie can be too suppressive, but with some GEFS members showing it as a possibility, it is.
accu35
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That’s a good track even for places further inland
RollTide18
Member
accu35
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Past two gefs runs are showing more panels expanding north then before. You could be right, but 12z 18z is a trend little NW
Pops
Member
Still think I 20 in alabama..sticking to it
Real time observation from being in down town Greenville SC to back at the house in Easley SC upstate this cold air funneling in is going to be legit!! Reminds me of my child hood from the 80’s. Enjoy the cold and grab your sunglasses!!
GeorgiaGirl
Member
?
I see several total whiffs here. LA's still fine, but I'd be concerned about a disappointment given this look.
This typically isn't the wheelhouse for ensembles, but the fact that I see several Ukie 18z type ideas makes that as the solution very plausible.
snowlover91
Member
Euro 18z run with a slight increase.
Slight improvement on the 18z Euro
snowlover91
Member
Closeup of the 18z Euro for the Carolina region.
buckinbronco
Member
Well I suppose it somewhat keeps us alive. Would really like to see the NAM make a meaningful leap at 0z to feel like we may pull off a novelty event here in north GA.
rburrel2
Member
That was a clutch euro run for Augusta to Columbia. It won’t fold to nothing from what it’s showing now, imo.
Looks like it’s been inching back on the nw side…like a county or two. Makes a difference for the cola crew!
At this point, I would be fine with around 2 inches of snow in my area. However would I feel cheated if that came with Coastal SC/NC getting around 4-5 inches of snow and a historic snowfall for the Gulf/Florida panhandle however. Would rather see this completely suppressed at this point if getting 4-6+ of snow for I-20 corridor is fully off the table.
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Iceagewhereartthou
Member
It will be a notable front for many, especially along the Gulf and SE coastal regions. For the upstate in particular, I think the vote is still out there. NWS only has Greenville getting down to 16 or 17 and Easley only down to 15. No days below freezing. I would think we would see colder conditions than that with this front, but if not it will not be very noteworthy here.
Someone post the 18z eps whenever it’s available please. I’m hanging in here until 12z tomorrow!
WarEagle22
Member
They have really scaled back on that from the previous update. This is not trending well for anyone at this point. Even the southern areas.
accu35
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You should be good for something your way as most of our storms are normally much further north with the precip then modeled
Ok guys most recent feel time observation it feels as though the cold has more of a sinking cold south feeling instead of the wind driven plunge and over bearing winter weather storm killer. Could be due to the fact that the sun has set and wind fields seem to decrease at this time or the cold press may just allow enough moisture to crawl North??? I still have hope!!
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
18z EPS
Really liking my map, it’s almost a carbon copy
It is time fam.
albertwilsonjr
Member
Well that’s better than I thought it’d be. Pretty night/day difference from the GEFS. GEPS is somewhere between the two