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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

I don't know...this looks like it could evolve into something.

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It would definitely be an all or nothing type of event most likely because the low level dry air isn't there unless it can really wrap up and pull it in from the west and from top down cooling via heavier rates. But I agree, it has potential and I like the direction it's been trending the past couple of runs.

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The Pacific transformation is starting now. Now we start to cool our source region. Its just not an overnight process. We're not going to torch the next 10 days and we'll see if we can thread a needle. After that we may can see the goods being delivered. The next few days it should become clear where we head at months end.
 
The Pacific transformation is starting now. Now we start to cool our source region. Its just not an overnight process. We're not going to torch the next 10 days and we'll see if we can thread a needle. After that we may can see the goods being delivered. The next few days it should become clear where we head at months end.
One thing I’d like to see over the next week is some more snow cover over the the Midwest. While I’m not convinced that a cross polar flow gets set up, we can still get a good winter storm with the airmass that beginning to take shape in Canada and more snow cover over the Midwest will prevent it from modifying too much.
 
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watch that pesky guy out in the pacific off of California ... Gfs doesn’t see it .. CMC has it but weaker .. and the euro just popped it up
Outta nowhere ... if it were the case some could argue it may try to hold low pressure back toward the west coast and open up some room for a SER? Maybe I’m wrong just something to point out
 
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