Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

[Webberweather53]

Welp, there goes the -NAO/ the only thing that we've had going for us of late...

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Tarheel1]

I'm not falling for it again.. (Okay, I did).. Check out that freezing line all the way down to Lake Okeechobee:View attachment 65514

That’s too cold, we toss! ?

 

[Tarheel1]

What a perfect day outside right now, 50s is our new 70s

I feel ya man! It’s sunny and 40 here! Seriously out in short and t shirt , and it felt warm!

 

[Tarheel1]

#NORTHTGEORGIAINFORMATIONIAMAGOOBERWEATHER says” look out for a possible winter storm in the SE the 17/18th! Y’all have been warned!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

TPV setting up shop around SE Canada

 

[Chazwin]

Welp, there goes the -NAO/ the only thing that we've had going for us of late...


View attachment 65526

Looks like it builds back in 2 days later.

 

[Jrips2710]

 

[Webberweather53]

GEFS has been progressively backing off on the big block North of Alaska/in the Beaufort Sea around day 9-10. If this holds/continues it would mean less cold air is getting transported across the pond from Eurasia into N America.

 

[Snowfan]

Theres actually been mPing reports of grapuel in parts of the ATL metro area

 

[ATLwxfan]

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[Tarheel1]

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Apparently, kirk hasn’t checked today’s runs!?

 

[SETNwx]

Apparently, kirk hasn’t checked today’s runs!?

Well to be fair, GFS and Euro after 10 days are night and day:

 

[NoSnowATL]

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If Kirk isn’t talking about it then it’s not happening. The man has never missed a winter Storm signal.

 

[Chazwin]

Well to be fair, GFS and Euro after 10 days are night and day:
View attachment 65535

They really are. The Euro actually has the cold coming inside 10 days now. Also we’re still at a point were there is still a warm bias to the GFS/GEFS

 

[Webberweather53]

The ensembles have been nudging the pattern towards CAD in the 6-10 day range. Obviously CAD is very tenuous and can easily turn into severe w/ a few modest tweaks, but I wouldn't be shocked if we got one or more cold rain CADs prior to ~ Jan 24 or so, an ice storm is also possible in climo favored zones of VA & NC if we played our cards right (or wrong depending on how you look at it)

 

[ATLwxfan]

Apparently, kirk hasn’t checked today’s runs!

Kirk doesn’t live and die by each run like we do. (Some of we anyway)


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[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Webberweather53]

The trend and the longwave pattern is not that far off from a CAD on the EPS inside day 8. We'd just have to dig the western plains/rockies s/w a little more to the south and amp the s/w ridge over Ontario. Cold air & snow cover to our north looks pretty anemic in this time frame as things currently stand, so if CAD does materialize, I'd lean towards cold rain over ice.

 

[ATLwxfan]

Well to be fair, GFS and Euro after 10 days are night and day:
View attachment 65535

Kirk is a Euro guy.


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[Myfrotho704_]

Another one

 

[Webberweather53]

Another one View attachment 65541View attachment 65542

I'll be surprised if at least one decent CAD doesn't show up by Jan 25 w/ that look at 500mb.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Is it me or have I seen some models want to hint at the ridge around the western SE/central/southern plains get shoved west/retrograde due to the Atlantic troughing ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I’m definitely not used to this sort of look at H5

 

[Batman]

Apparently, kirk hasn’t checked today’s runs!?

He is one of the most well known and respected mets in the southeast. Unlike many here, he does not react like a teenage girl to every model run!

 

[SETNwx]

I’m definitely not used to this sort of look at H5 View attachment 65545View attachment 65546

Alive in the SuperNegNaoUnknown:

 

[KyloG]

Someone going to be snow blitzed with the pattern the EPS is showing. Really feel if we just have normal luck we can see something wintery last 10 days of January.

 

[Ron Burgundy]

Grauplefest in north Atlanta! ?

 

[Webberweather53]

Grauplefest in north Atlanta! ?

Nice little surprise event for folks in AL & GA

 

[cyclogent]

grabbed a few pics of the rime ice from this morning's freezing fog here

 

[Ron Burgundy]

Nice little surprise event for folks in AL & GA

View attachment 65550

Lol - it’s 48 degrees! Man, we suck at surface temps this year in ATL.

 

[Snowfan]

Lol - it’s 48 degrees! Man, we suck at surface temps this year in ATL.

There was even reports of it falling in Macon.

 

[NoSnowATL]

Lol - it’s 48 degrees! Man, we suck at surface temps this year in ATL.

This will be the trademark for this winter here. Damn warm surface temperatures.

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

Pretty amazing that there are no temps warmer than 56 forecast for Atlanta the next 14 days. You don't get that every January.

 

[Batman]

Pretty amazing that there are no temps warmer than 56 forecast for Atlanta the next 14 days. You don't get that every January.

Good post and good point. IF.. that verified, it would take us nearly through January without 56 in ATL. I would venture to say it has been quite a few Januaries since that happened.

 

[J.C.]

Lol - it’s 48 degrees! Man, we suck at surface temps this year in ATL.

Hey now, we aren't all ITP here! Max here was 45.3 earlier this afternoon ?

 

[J.C.]

Pretty amazing that there are no temps warmer than 56 forecast for Atlanta the next 14 days. You don't get that every January.

Add to the fact that my average high so far for the month as of yesterday was 49.4F Now on the flip side, the average low is only 36F, but I'm not complaining.

 

[Showmeyourtds]

Hey now, we aren't all ITP here! Max here was 45.3 earlier this afternoon ?

...If you ain't ITP, you ain't in Atlanta

 

[SETNwx]

...If you ain't ITP, you ain't in Atlanta

I can't help but read your screen name as, 'show me your turds'..

 

[Ron Burgundy]

Lol. Thundergraupel west of ATL. Now I’ve seen it all...