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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

Clem282340 said:
Is that look a crush job for sc as well
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You’d be pushing it. To get something like that in SC you want that low to be as close to the gulf coast as possible otherwise you’re going to be worrying about temps and mixing the entire event. Except for maybe a quick changeover to snow as the low exits.
 
Ethan80963 said:
You’d be pushing it. To get something like that in SC you want that low to be as close to the gulf coast as possible otherwise you’re going to be worrying about temps and mixing the entire event. Except for maybe a quick changeover to snow as the low exits.
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Why all the frozen in the map is that ice instead of snow
 
Clem282340 said:
Why all the frozen in the map is that ice instead of snow
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For us in the upstate it started off as rain, changed over to a hard mix, then changed to all snow as the low exited off the coast. The reason the Upstate had such high amounts was due to our proximity to the low and frozen line, we ended up seeing pretty high rates. However for NC it was all snow for most of the event. We want the low to be closer to the gulf coast so we wouldn’t have to worry about temps like we would with that solution.
 
Ethan80963 said:
For us in the upstate it started off as rain, changed over to a hard mix, then changed to all snow as the low exited off the coast. The reason the Upstate had such high amounts was due to our proximity to the low and frozen line, we ended up seeing pretty high rates. However for NC it was all snow for most of the event.
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So you saying that it counts rain mix bag and snow all together
 
SD said:
Not a bad day. Might have a better chance at getting some flurries to the sfc since we look slightly less dry than the Christmas morning system
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Yeah those dews on Christmas Day just keep trending drier just before the event and that killed it with virga, basically dews trended towards around 9-13
 
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Myfrotho704_ said:
Yeah those dews on Christmas Day just keep trending drier just before the event and that killed it with virga, basically dews trended towards around 9-13
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I'd really like to have the upper low stronger and moving overhead but the 12z nam at least has a decent area of vorticity coming in.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Just 300+ hours View attachment 65575
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What I don't understand is why the model runs don't pick up on these projected arctic fronts.? Even today it shows mostly rain storms for the mid south when there is no way that would be rain under them temps. The cold air just hasn't ever come to reality yet, I know it's only mid january but with that type of cold projected you would think it would start showing up on the model runs. And it always seems like this projected cold is 300 hours out. I heard the euro finally has true cold in it inside day 10 is that still the case?
 
snowvol said:
What I don't understand is why the model runs don't pick up on these projected arctic fronts.? Even today it shows mostly rain storms for the mid south when there is no way that would be rain under them temps. The cold air just hasn't ever come to reality yet, I know it's only mid january but with that type of cold projected you would think it would start showing up on the model runs. And it always seems like this projected cold is 300 hours out. I heard the euro finally has true cold in it inside day 10 is that still the case?
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Yea euro has a trough off the eastern US that’s stuck under the block 77233363-650A-4A62-B931-7B07812C9425.png78285371-02EB-4332-92C8-BE78758B59B7.png4A370F3E-9504-4BE0-832D-25B46FDD3160.png
 
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