A Miller B or a just a weak low moving along the Gulf Coast with a cold high pressure in the in the Midwest to give a good overrunning set up.
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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
Cad Wedge NC
Member
That's the one you want. Don't want a freezing rain/sleet fest "miller B"
Ron Burgundy
Member
Yeah, gimme the Miller A all day. That Miller B coastal transfer puts NGA in the screw zone every time. How I loathe the dry slot!
This -NAO is never gonna go away as long as the SPV is getting absolutely destroyed, GEFS/GFS show more destruction of it towards the second half of the month 
i guess this is what happens when the -NAO is coupled to the strat, maybe we can delay the -PNA/southeast ridge we’re normally doomed to have in feb 
and oh yeah ???
i guess this is what happens when the -NAO is coupled to the strat, maybe we can delay the -PNA/southeast ridge we’re normally doomed to have in feb and oh yeah ???
One difference I really like is how far north this west based -NAO is compared to what we were seeing on ensembles for this timeframe, this allows for better cold to be filtered in
for example this is what we’re were looking at for this timeframe that we’re in now (that produced the little snow event)
What we’re seeing ahead, this is way better for filtering cold and the pacific is definitely in much better shape, if we scored some snow in this pattern now (NC/TN/AL/VA/GA/SC), just wait lol, something will pop
for example this is what we’re were looking at for this timeframe that we’re in now (that produced the little snow event)
What we’re seeing ahead, this is way better for filtering cold and the pacific is definitely in much better shape, if we scored some snow in this pattern now (NC/TN/AL/VA/GA/SC), just wait lol, something will pop
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Avalanche
Member
Much less Pacific influence.
D
Deleted member 609
Guest
You left out sc!
Finally got the pacific on our side to inject cold into a stormy pattern, what could go wrong
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GFS basically showing what the euro showed earlier 
This one gives me all the feels. Probably unlikely to happen but my goodness
I can’t keep getting one more FLIZZARD
?
D
Deleted member 609
Guest
Rain line 8 miles south of me with 10 days to go ?
That’ll work
Sheared and not Very amped with weak WAA
Just the way i like it
LickWx
Member
Random bubble of rain over wake county with snow all around ,mixed precip just southeast of us , and dry air just east ? That’s a tough look right there .
The GFS also has another storm at the end of its run.
Big time NW flow potential with this one. Needs watched for the mountains. Might be time to break out the skis!
bet this won’t happen 
Looks about like today
Ron Burgundy
Member
Hope not. Be nice to see a board wide hit given the pattern.
We are going to hit soon ..this pattern is screaming for it
? 
La Niña 
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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SnowNiner
Member
Hopefully the EPS is wrong here with the build up of the WAR and the SE ridge. That will really hurt us IMO in this time frame. GEFS on the other hand looks like a threat window. Which one is right? Hate to bet against the EPS.
As usual, the main difference is the pacific portrayal, with lower heights in the gulf of Alaska while the GEFS has a nice ridge. Both can be doable if the EPS can strengthen an Alaska ridge or at least drop the trough idea, right after this time frame. Days 10-13 is where I think we need to look to score.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Verbatim there is nothing wrong with either ensemble suite
SnowNiner
Member
Well, I'd prefer GEFS pinching off the TPV a bit more, creating a stronger trough under the block and keeping the WAR away from us. Generally, starting around this point the EPS seems to want to start moving the trough west and we get in to ridging. I hope that's wrong.
And I agree, if we can fend off the ridging this is the start of our next window.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Again, there's really nothing wrong w/ either ensemble mean as they currently stand. A central US trough & WAR isn't an unfavorable look if you want overrunning, there's usually a SE ridge at 500mb in many if not a majority of those cases in some way, shape, or form (need deep layer WSW flow to make it happen). I wouldn't read into the details of a day 10 ensemble mean and am not concerned at the moment.
ATLwxfan
Member
This is the period to watch. Good deep level cold in place. That’s a good look. I’ll take that and cash out. Would like for that to translate a tad south and west so my south metro and Bama friends can get in on the action.
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Posting these so we can come back and check. The GEFS does show a more favorable pacific over the EPS. This is out there in fantasy land but always fun to check to see how they did.
