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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
RVD
Meteorology Student
Cadi40
Member
How do we have to trend to make it more favorable for the Upper SE, specifically the piedmont region?
Get a stronger 50/50 low.
Stronger 50/50 low/N/S injection but honestly with that look towards the end of the euro I’m almost worried things would be to suppressed
Cadi40
Member
Well regardless of any snow it's definitely nice to have a change of patterns compared to the previous years.
I wouldn't worry about suppression if the wave coming onshore is tapping into some real good Pacific moisture.
It’s getting better as it gets closer, it’s slowly becoming less of a mirage ????
Certainly feel better after the 12z runs so far versus 12/24 hours ago
I hope we see more positive trends for less ridging over the NE. This look would be terrible for us east of the mountains.
Snow mean starting to respond to that stuff that the euro/CMC picked up on, same footprint as that December 2009 storm. 
RVD
Meteorology Student
Oh man, that looks great! Love the trend out west with the weakening trough and better ridge. I think @Ollie Williams has noted a few times that models seem to be underestimating the +PNA in the long range.
?
SnowNiner
Member
Webb mentioned the block ridging ideally shifts more north to get more cold, we could get more ridging up on alaska, and I'd like to see stronger lower heigts off the east coast/eastern canada for stronger 50/50 lows. Don't see that on models so far through the first half of January. Hopefully we can benefit later down south. First half of the month the northeast and perhaps the midatlantic will likely score big.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Got a pretty good feeling that we’re gonna hand off the first storm or two in this pattern to the mid Atlantic. We could use a little snow cover to our north to help further lock in this great pattern. As we see a few storms run their course thru the first half of the month and lay some snow down to our north, the Greenland block begins to couple with the stratosphere, & continues retrograding poleward and westward, the air masses that plunge southward will become increasingly deeper/colder as we get into mid-January
Hence, I think the mid Atlantic and perhaps the mountains could score here inside the first 10-12 days of the January. Our window in the SE probably does not legitimately open up until about Jan 15 or so given the above info, but it should last for basically the rest of January at a minimum and given the SSWE, February is also looking favorable atm
Hence, I think the mid Atlantic and perhaps the mountains could score here inside the first 10-12 days of the January. Our window in the SE probably does not legitimately open up until about Jan 15 or so given the above info, but it should last for basically the rest of January at a minimum and given the SSWE, February is also looking favorable atm
Not a bad mean, but most members stay to the north.
Good probabilities north of I-85.
Good probabilities north of I-85.
It’ll probably start to crawl south more as it did compared to last run