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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

The CMC, ECMWFUMFER, and the 6z GFS develop a pretty nice progression in the arctic regions. Canada finally looks to get bona-fide cold with some intrusion, finally, into the US. Hoping to see those trends continue over the coming days, and we'll be ready to roll.
 
This some kind of cruel joke or a result of models being too cold biased ? The 10 day in Raleigh is identical to New York City on TWC. The hell. So we get to be the most below average spot on the east coast next 10?
 
Can see subtle changes on the EPS past few runs. Allowing more HP to nose in.

If it's not going to snow here I hope this can really wind up and dump on the VA and points north. That's kind of where I think this is headed...wouldn't take much to dump on RIC to PHL. It's to bad as this is so close to being such a big event for some on this board.

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Eurotemps.gif
 
There was a time when it seemed like the models would sniff out a threat in the long range, we lose it and then it comes back. You gotta hope to see at least something on model runs soon with the energy flying through here.


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ATLwxfan said:
There was a time when it seemed like the models would sniff out a threat in the long range, we lose it and then it comes back. You gotta hope to see at least something on model runs soon with the energy flying through here.


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Does the Euro not count as a model?
 
KyloG said:
Can see subtle changes on the EPS past few runs. Allowing more HP to nose in.

If it's not going to snow here I hope this can really wind up and dump on the VA and points north. That's kind of where I think this is headed...wouldn't take much to dump on RIC to PHL. It's to bad as this is so close to being such a big event for some on this board.

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We are 1 good trend away from seeing a lot of fantasy snow in our backyard. The 0z euro was probably underdone on snow for our backyards given the look of a changeover from rain to snow then a potential period of light snow as the northern stream moved through.
 
At KSAV, record high minimum of 67 yesterday: breaks old record high minimum of 66 from 2017:


But thankfully, much cooler on the way to near normal and I’ll be hopefully back at the park tonight enjoying it!
 
We are in weird times to start off 2021 already. We have the icon and euro trending better for winter weather around here and the gfs and Canadian not so much. Weird times!

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Ron Burgundy said:
Does the Euro not count as a model?
Click to expand...

I may have missed something. Other than the GFS para I didn’t see much else. Granted the Euro had a couple of promising tracks and a nice gulf low but too warm for most of us. Granted could be a moot point by 12z!


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