NoSnowATL
Member
Maxar hates cold.What did Maxar say about the missed above normal call for December? Does the Pacific forecast do well long range?
Maxar hates cold.What did Maxar say about the missed above normal call for December? Does the Pacific forecast do well long range?
To be fair Dec was warm for the conus. Only the se was near average.What did Maxar say about the missed above normal call for December? Does the Pacific forecast do well long range?
Maxar hates cold.
So looking at things, the pattern leading up to SSWE/during the energy transfer are typically warm for the eastern US
HM created an interesting composite for all the SSW Events.So looking at things, the pattern leading up to SSWE/during the energy transfer are typically warm for the eastern US
HM created an interesting composite for all the SSW Events.
I'll take it. Anything that keeps the leaves from budding in winter like the last few years works for me. Frosts in the morning and 40s and 50s in the afternoon is a good winter in my books with a few colder days in there.It's gonna be hard to torch or go well above normal when the center of the ridge axis is over north-central Canada. Looks like largely a continuation of this past month temperature wise, with maybe a bigger -PNA lean at times as individual waves move into the west coast.
View attachment 60889
Basically the same process happens on the GEFS, note this was a hour 384 pattern a day or so agoThe most interesting part of the GFS you can see as the block starts to retrograde each system loses latitude and ends up with an interesting system by D16. Just based off of the 12z GFS you would have to circle 1/15-20 as a potential time period to have something hit for parts of the region. NAO block gets back toward Davis Strait so we can get a decent storm going off of the SE Canada coast in the 50/50 region and hopefully suppress the pattern enough for a miller B or maybe slip a southern slider type event through
It's not an awful pattern, but I doubt it's very cold at the surface. However, it may put western areas in play, given that it's near the coldest time of year climo-wise.
The bump off the west coast is nice speaking regionally, speaking for our backyard it would be nice if it were shifted east some.Basically the same process happens on the GEFS, note this was a hour 384 pattern a day or so ago View attachment 60901